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Solana (SOL) is currently in a critical technical position, and market participants are closely following its future trends. From a Technical Analysis perspective, the SOL hourly chart has broken through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with prices stabilizing above $208. However, the MACD indicator has formed a death cross, suggesting that short-term momentum may weaken.
The challenges faced by the bulls should not be underestimated. There are multiple resistance levels in the $210-$218 range, with $210 being particularly critical, as it is not only a psychological barrier but also an important resistance that the bulls must break through. Market data shows that there is a concentration of short positions around $218, and if the price can break through $210, it could trigger a chain reaction, pushing SOL to rise quickly to $212 or even $218.
However, if it cannot hold the $210 level, SOL may pull back to the $205 support level. If it further drops and breaks below $203, it may test the $200-197-193 range.
It is important to note that the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data will have a significant impact on the market. This data is seen as an important indicator of the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy. If the data is stronger than expected, it may increase expectations for interest rate hikes, putting pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Conversely, if the data is weak, it may create favorable conditions for SOL to break through resistance levels.
The current trend of SOL is thought-provoking. The death cross of the technical indicators coinciding with the resistance level poses a risk of a 'bull trap' in the market. If there is insufficient trading volume to support a breakout above $210, a sharp decline may occur after a false breakout. However, if the non-farm data is favorable and the Bitcoin market remains stable, SOL still has the potential to break through the current resistance, initiating a new round of upward movement.
Investors should closely follow the market reaction after the non-farm payroll data is released, while also being vigilant of various technical signals, maintaining caution and rationality when making investment decisions.