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Iran’s situation has new updates!

According to CCTV news, the spokesperson for the Iranian armed forces stated on the 27th local time that Iran is formulating the conditions for ending the war. The spokesperson warned the United States and Israel that Iran possesses strong power and a victory advantage on the battlefield, capable of determining the final outcome of the war, and that the US and Israel will be “forced” to accept this reality.

Additionally, according to informed officials from the United States and Saudi Arabia, Iran attacked the Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, which houses US military personnel on the 27th, resulting in 10 US personnel being injured and several US aerial refueling aircraft being damaged.

US media reported on the 27th local time that the US aircraft carrier “Bush” is expected to be deployed to the Middle East or nearby areas. On the same day, US Secretary of State Rubio stated that military actions by the US and Israel against Iran will continue for several weeks. German Chancellor Merz stated on the 27th local time that what the US is doing now is not easing the situation or seeking a peaceful solution, but rather a large-scale escalation of conflict, the outcome of which is unpredictable.

It is noteworthy that on Friday, the US bond market also encountered a sell-off, indicating that investors expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance on interest rates. Bettors on the betting platform Polymarket believe that the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates later this year is 25%, and the possibility of not lowering interest rates in 2026 is 40%.

Iran’s armed forces: Formulating conditions for ending the war

The spokesperson for the Iranian armed forces stated on the 27th local time that Iran is formulating the conditions for ending the war. The spokesperson warned the United States and Israel that Iran possesses strong power and a victory advantage on the battlefield, capable of determining the final outcome of the war, and that the US and Israel will be “forced” to accept this reality.

The spokesperson pointed out that the US and Israel have fully recognized the power of the Iranian armed forces and the nation in actual struggles, advising them to face the facts and return to rationality in a timely manner.

According to CCTV news, on March 27 local time, according to US officials, Iran launched missiles at the Prince Sultan Air Base located in Saudi Arabia, injuring several American soldiers.

Two US officials stated that the attack resulted in injuries to several US military personnel, but currently, all those injured are not in life-threatening danger. Additionally, at least one US aircraft was damaged in the attack.

Reportedly, this attack is one of Iran’s latest responses to US and its allies’ military actions. As the conflict continues to escalate, US personnel and facilities in the Middle East are facing greater risk.

So far, at least 303 US military personnel have been injured in military operations against Iran, with 10 suffering serious injuries.

On the evening of the 27th local time, Major General Mousavi, the commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Force, stated that the attacks by the US and Israel on multiple Iranian infrastructures that day were “provocative actions that play with fire.”

Mousavi stated that in the current situation, Iran’s response “will no longer be limited to an eye for an eye,” but did not disclose specific details.

He also warned that employees of industrial enterprises associated with the US and Israel in the region should immediately evacuate their workplaces to avoid jeopardizing their safety in subsequent actions.

On the evening of the 27th local time, Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif responded on social media to Israel’s attacks on Iranian infrastructures, including power plants and steel mills, emphasizing that Israel will pay a heavy price for “its crimes.”

Zarif pointed out that Israel launched attacks on Iran’s two largest steel mills, a power plant, and civil nuclear facilities, and stated that these actions were coordinated with the US, according to Israeli sources.

He stated that this attack contradicts President Trump’s earlier claim of “suspending attacks on Iranian energy facilities” and reiterated Iran’s firm stance on safeguarding national security and interests.

US Secretary of State: Military actions against Iran will continue for several weeks

According to Xinhua News Agency, US Secretary of State Rubio stated on the 27th after attending the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting in France that military actions by the US and Israel against Iran will continue for several weeks, and there are currently no plans for a meeting regarding the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

Before returning home on that day, Rubio told the media that military actions against Iran are expected to conclude at an appropriate time, “we are talking about weeks, not months.” Additionally, according to news from Axios, Rubio told G7 colleagues that the conflict will continue for “2 to 4 weeks.”

Rubio stated that the US can still achieve its military objectives against Iran, including destroying Iran’s missile and drone capabilities, without deploying ground troops. He also mentioned that the US has recently added thousands of troops to the Middle East to provide options for President Trump to respond to emergencies. He did not elaborate on this.

According to CNN on the 27th, the US aircraft carrier “Bush” is expected to be deployed to the Middle East or nearby areas. The report cited sources saying that the “Bush” carrier will go to the area under the responsibility of the US Central Command, including the Middle East.

It is still unclear whether the “Bush” carrier will join or replace existing naval forces in the region participating in operations against Iran.

The report stated that despite President Trump’s claims of negotiating with Iran, he has also been considering various military options that may escalate the conflict.

On the 27th local time, German Chancellor Merz stated that what the US is doing now is not easing the situation or seeking a peaceful solution, but rather a large-scale escalation of conflict, the outcome of which is unpredictable. Merz stated that these escalations constitute a threat, not only to those directly affected but also to everyone, including Germans.

Merz also questioned the US and Israel’s war goals in Iran, believing that their goal of regime change in Iran is unattainable. Merz asked, “Is regime change really their goal?” “If so, I do not think they can achieve it. Such matters usually end in failure.”

Merz also stated in his speech that Germany is willing to deploy armed forces to the Strait of Hormuz for mine clearance operations after the end of the war.

Will the Federal Reserve’s next move be to raise interest rates?

Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange shows that investors currently believe the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates before the September meeting is about 20%, and they see a zero probability of a rate cut within the next six months. A month ago, the market expected a probability of over 90% for at least one rate cut before September.

Bettors on the betting platform Polymarket believe that later this year, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates is 25%, and the probability of not lowering interest rates in 2026 is 40%.

On Friday, due to ongoing attacks in the Middle East, concerns about the possibility of the Iran war lasting until April or even longer intensified, leading to a further rise in oil prices. Brent crude oil futures traded above $106 per barrel; West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures broke through $100, with an increase of over 7%. Investors are closely monitoring the increasingly severe impact of shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz on the economy.

On that day, not only did the US stock market experience a plunge, but the bond market also faced a sell-off, indicating that investors expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance on interest rates, due to concerns that soaring oil prices may drive up inflation.

According to Yahoo Finance, Trump’s postponement of military actions against Iranian energy facilities failed to alleviate investors’ anxiety, and in contrast to bond price movements, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds once jumped to 4.46%, reaching its highest level since July.

Mike Dickson, head of research and quantitative strategies at Horizon, wrote: “After months of expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year, investors have returned to the old saying: ‘Higher for longer.’”

The yield on 2-year US Treasury bonds rose to 4% on Friday, also indicating similar trends. Aditya Bhave, an economist at Bank of America, pointed out that this yield diverged from oil price trends.

Bhave stated that the comments made by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell after the recent Federal Reserve meeting were hawkish, while Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller expressed significant concerns about soaring oil prices in an interview on March 20. Bhave wrote that considering the divergence between short-term interest rates and oil price trends after the meeting, “we believe the market is currently expecting the Federal Reserve’s response mechanism to become more hawkish and may anticipate broader commodity shocks.”

Proofread by: Pan Da