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#美国ADP就业数据表现超出市场预期 The market is betting on how long the US government will be shut down, while both parties are still bickering. Interestingly, the market has already started to speculate on expectations - if the shoe finally drops, it might instead welcome a "fully priced-in good news" cold scene.
My judgment is simple: in the short term, one can speculate on the emotional aspect, but looking at a longer time frame, it is still bearish. The real risk release point is in the US stock market; once that crashes, tightening liquidity will be the true test for the cryptocurrency market.
Is it wise to chase the high at this position now? Think twice. The feeling of standing guard at a high position is not pleasant, especially for assets like $ETH that follow the market.