Analysts Warn: Bitcoin Bull Run May Peak in 50 Days, October is a Key Window

With the continued fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, analysts generally believe and expect that the BTC bull run cycle may be entering its final stage, and that a last sprint could occur within the next two months.

Cryptocurrency analyst "CRYPTO₿IRB" stated this morning that the Bitcoin bull run may end within the next 50 days, with an expected peak around the end of October. This prediction is based on an analysis of the patterns of previous bull run peaks and the number of days after Bitcoin halving.

Analysis suggests that it has been 1,017 days since the low in November 2022. Historically, the time interval from the peak of a bull run to its cycle low is usually between 1,060 and 1,100 days. Therefore, "CRYPTO₿IRB" believes that the Bitcoin bull run may peak between late October and mid-November 2025.

This观点 has been confirmed by ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen, who pointed out that Bitcoin typically reaches a low in September after the halving, then rebounds to the market cycle peak in the fourth quarter.

However, some analysts hold a different view. They believe that this market cycle is different from previous ones because it is driven by the adoption of institutional investors (such as ETFs and corporate bonds), rather than retail investors' "fear of missing out" (FOMO), and the US government also supports cryptocurrencies. Additionally, if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in two weeks, liquidity will improve as borrowing costs will become lower.

It is worth noting that Bitcoin's price has been fluctuating in the range of $107,500 to $112,500 recently, and it may continue to consolidate in the short term. However, analysts also warn that if BTC follows the historical correction pattern of September, the price of Bitcoin may once again fall below the $100,000 mark.

Overall, although the cycle model points to clear market turning points, new variables such as institutional participation and policy support also add uncertainty to this bull run. Investors need to find a balance between historical patterns and emerging fundamentals to prepare for potential market shifts.

#比特币牛市 # cycle prediction