At 8:30 PM tonight, the U.S. will announce the initial claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending August 30, and this data could have a significant impact on the Crypto Assets market. Investors are closely following this indicator as it may become one of the key factors for the Fed's decision to cut interest rates.



Recently, the U.S. job market has shown some worrying signs. The JOLTs job openings data for July released on Wednesday dropped to 7.181 million, which is not only below the market expectation of 7.378 million but also marks the lowest level in 10 months. This data has already caused unease in the market.

If the initial jobless claims announced tonight continue to rise, it may further increase the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates in September. Currently, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market expects a 96.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the meeting on September 17.

Historical experience shows that the Fed's interest rate cut cycle is often accompanied by an increase in bitcoin prices. This is mainly because cutting interest rates increases liquidity in traditional financial markets, and some funds may flow into the crypto assets market in search of higher returns.

During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the Fed's interest rate cuts and quantitative easing policies drove Bitcoin prices from over $3000 to an all-time high. This precedent has kept many investors optimistic about the current situation.

However, investors should also act cautiously and closely follow tonight's employment data release. This may become an important indicator of the Fed's policy direction, which in turn could affect the entire Crypto Assets market trend. Regardless of the outcome, the crypto market may see a new wave of capital flow, and investors need to be well prepared to deal with potential market fluctuations.
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MemeCoinSavantvip
· 09-07 08:57
according to my research the correlation between unemployment and btc is statistically dank af
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SelfMadeRuggeevip
· 09-07 05:14
btc is about to To da moon.
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HashBrowniesvip
· 09-06 14:31
It's time to interpret big data again.
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OnchainDetectivevip
· 09-06 10:28
96.6%? According to my correlation analysis, the actual probability is clearly less than 85.
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MemecoinTradervip
· 09-04 09:51
running sentiment analysis... employment data = perfect catalyst for next leg up tbh
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AirdropHunterZhangvip
· 09-04 09:49
It's time to start again! All in, see you back!
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FrogInTheWellvip
· 09-04 09:49
Lose one for every one you see
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CrashHotlinevip
· 09-04 09:48
Retail investors are going to be played people for suckers again.
View OriginalReply0
DAOplomacyvip
· 09-04 09:46
game theory suggests this is just noise... real macro catalysts run deeper tbh
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