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Market conditions are often filled with contradictions and paradoxes. Recently, despite the frequent emergence of Favourable Information, the market has shown a downward trend, and this seemingly unreasonable phenomenon contains a deeper logic of market game.
When a certain expectation is highly recognized by the market and is almost unquestioned, it may instead signal the accumulation of potential risks. This does not mean that the information itself is unreliable, but rather that the consistency of expectations may constitute a short-term market trap.
Currently, we are at a critical period where the market may undergo a reversal. Some investors are starting to feel anxious, with some predicting the arrival of a bear market, while others choose to wait and see. However, we must recognize that market trends are not driven by retail sentiment; it is the institutional funds that truly control the pace.
A rate cut is indeed a positive signal and will inject vitality into the market in the long term. However, before that, large funds may tend to "wash out" to eliminate indecisive short-term chips in preparation for future upward trends.
From a medium to long-term perspective, the market is likely to strengthen after the interest rate cut. Not only the US stock market, but the A-share market is also expected to see a more sustained upward trend after the interest rate cut is officially implemented and liquidity improves, and there is even the possibility of challenging the 4000-point mark.
Funds will eventually flow into the market, and some "smart money" may have already begun to secretly position themselves. However, for ordinary investors, trading too frequently or chasing short-term fluctuations can bring risks. Real large-scale market movements often quietly start when market consensus is broken and investor confidence is shaken.
Many investors are accustomed to chasing gains and cutting losses, lacking systematic review and analysis. To succeed in the complex and volatile market, investors need to cultivate the ability to think independently and establish their own investment systems, rather than blindly following the ups and downs of market sentiment.
In summary, it is crucial to remain calm and rational in the face of the current market situation. Short-term market fluctuations can be confusing, but as long as investors adhere to a long-term investment philosophy, maintain patience, and seize market opportunities in a timely manner, there is a possibility of gaining profits in future market trends.