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The Bitcoin market has recently shown a sideways consolidation pattern, with prices hovering around $11,300. This phenomenon is influenced by multiple factors, including differing expectations among market participants regarding the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, as well as strategic adjustments by large investors.
Currently, the global financial markets are focused on the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. This highly anticipated speech could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly regarding statements on interest rate policy and inflation control. The market generally believes that Powell's remarks will provide important clues for the direction of monetary policy in the coming months.
At the same time, political factors are also at play. Some politicians are calling for the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy, which has increased market uncertainty to some extent. However, the current Federal Reserve officials seem to be weighing various factors and maintaining a cautious stance.
It is worth noting that there are signs of large-scale trading in the market. According to reports, a well-known investor holds a long position worth $140 million and is currently facing a floating loss of nearly $10 million. This situation is seen by some analysts as a signal that the market may be about to turn.
For the upcoming speech by the Federal Reserve Chairman, there are generally three expectations in the market: first, a clear signal of a rate cut in September, which is considered the most optimistic but least likely scenario; second, indicating that it is not suitable to cut rates at the moment but suggesting a tendency to possibly cut rates in the future, which is currently regarded as the most likely situation; third, not releasing any expectations for a rate cut at all, or even reinforcing a hawkish stance, which could create short-term pressure on the market.
In the face of the current complex market environment, investors are advised to remain rational and avoid blind selling. For confident investors, this may be an opportunity to gradually build positions in preparation for a potential market reversal. However, given the uncertainty of the market, taking a phased approach and controlling risks remains a wise choice.