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Bull run pullback strategy: Analysis of Bitcoin and mainstream altcoins' buying ranges and target prices.
Bitcoin and altcoin market analysis: strategies for positioning during the bull run pullback phase
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown an upward trend overall, but pullbacks are inevitably present in every bull run. To cope with this market volatility, the author has updated the buy zone strategy for major cryptocurrencies. Whether for regular investments or trading, these reference positions can help investors make more informed decisions in seizing low-price buying opportunities.
Although the alts market has started to become active, it cannot yet be called a true "altcoin season." Bitcoin's market dominance has been declining for four consecutive weeks, but it is currently rebounding from a key support level (the 50-week moving average). If Bitcoin's dominance declines again, it could trigger the altcoin season.
The following is an analysis and recommendations for several major cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin(BTC)
The current price level coincides exactly with the 20-week moving average, which has historically been a strong rebound zone. If the price oscillates repeatedly between $90,000 and $120,000, this strategy could perform exceptionally well. Since July 1, the compounded returns of this strategy have reached 13.8%.
Ethereum(ETH)
ETH is building higher local lows, so the support level indicators remain valid. The author is no longer bearish below $1,500, with $2,200 becoming the new buying range. This strategy has currently achieved a 70% compound return. If the altcoin season is confirmed, a larger upward movement may occur.
Solana ( SOL )
The SOL to Bitcoin ratio remains weak. It is advisable to adopt a more conservative strategy before confirming a strengthening trend. The support level at $125-130 is relatively new and has not been fully tested, while $112 may be a more prudent choice. The current strategy has yielded a return of 56% and is still compounding.
Ripple ( XRP )
Since the end of 2024, XRP has shown strong momentum. The $1.89 price level has maintained support for over 7 months, and a clear high and low point has now formed.
Binance Coin ( BNB )
BNB/BTC is still at bear market levels. A stablecoin supported by a well-known political figure will be launched on the BNB chain, which could become a significant catalyst.
Cardano ( ADA )
ADA has formed a triple bottom against the US dollar, and its ratio against Bitcoin is close to the levels of 2020. The rise of this token may be relatively slow, but it is one of the most undervalued blue chips for the next round of ETF frenzy.
Dogecoin ( DOGE )
After months of declining trends, the price is re-testing the neckline of the double bottom pattern. It remains the most favored Meme coin by institutions, adopting a PoW mechanism, with a rich historical background and promising prospects for an ETF launch in the future.
TRON ( TRX )
The trend of TRX is a bit strange; it has been slowly oscillating upwards while maintaining a stable exchange rate with BTC. Considering that World Liberty and stablecoin regulation are coming soon, it is recommended to adopt a conservative trading strategy: narrow the price range and reduce trading frequency.
Other Tokens Worth Noting
Overall, smart dollar-cost averaging is usually better than investing all funds at once. Currently, blue-chip tokens are still undervalued, and the altcoin season may be approaching, but it is not yet confirmed. It is recommended to take advantage of market volatility to steadily accumulate funds, but all of this requires patience.