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【The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 89.1%】According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 10.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 89.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 3.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 60.9%. ( Jin10 )