The market has been in a sideways trend at high levels for nearly a month, and with Trump's tariff announcement, it is facing another wave of falling trend.

Based on past data, August and September are the months with the highest probability of $BTC falling, and they are also the resting time for U.S. stock traders.

But as long as we get through this time, October and November will be the months with the largest increases again, with average terrifying increases of +21.89% and +46.02% respectively.

Even if this wave of $BTC pulls back to 100,000, based on the average return rate of previous years, it could break through 150,000 in the second half of the year.

Trump is crying wolf every day and everyone is getting tired of it. It's estimated that in a month or so, the tariffs will be postponed again.

The Federal Reserve originally planned four rate cuts this year, but none have been implemented so far, and Trump is continuously pressuring Powell.

Then, when the Federal Reserve can't hold on any longer or Trump's tariffs are completely resolved, the market sentiment that has been pent up for a year will burst forth like a floodgate opening.

By then, $BTC will not just be a few points of increase; we are likely to witness a real explosive cryptocurrency bull market.

As for the altcoins, it seems that the liquidity brought by the rise of Bitcoin can allow them to sip some soup.

However, as more and more altcoins emerge, the share of established memes like $pepe is constantly being squeezed. Once Bitcoin stops its expansion, the altcoins will fall hard.