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Bloomberg: Volume perdagangan Polymarket dikalahkan oleh Kalshi, penempatan pasar di AS sering mengalami kegagalan
23 April news, Polymarket, which has long dominated the prediction market trading volume, is facing multiple difficulties. According to Dune Analytics data, its global trading volume has been surpassed by main competitor Kalshi. In terms of valuation, Kalshi announced a new round of financing last month with a valuation of 22 billion USD, while Polymarket’s recent valuation is 15 billion USD after a 600 million USD investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
Polymarket’s biggest bottleneck is the inability to officially launch in the US market for a long time; its US app is still in testing phase, with March trading volume only one-fiftieth of Kalshi’s. Technical challenges brought by blockchain architecture, repeated delays in product launch, recent fee adjustments causing user dissatisfaction, and issues such as the exchange being shut down for over an hour continue to trouble the platform.
Additionally, Polymarket has been criticized for allowing users to bet on controversial topics such as war and nuclear explosions, leading to a letter from Democratic Congress members requesting CFTC intervention. ICE CEO Sprecher still remains optimistic but admits that this is either a complete comeback or a total failure.