« BTC OG insider whale » agent : le cessez-le-feu nous rend encore plus baissiers, il n’y a jamais eu dans l’histoire un précédent où un conflit aussi intense ait été résolu en deux semaines

MarsBitNews · 2026-04-12T15:20:32+00:00

Mars Finance reports that on April 12th, BTC whale agent Garrett Jin believed that a ceasefire is like a sugar-coated poison; a short-term ceasefire does not equal lasting peace, with a probability of less than 10%, because Iran and the US conditions are incompatible, and such conflicts have not been resolved through short-term ceasefires in history.

MarsBitNews

2026-04-12 15:20:32

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Mars Finance reports that on April 12th, “BTC OG Insider Whale” agent Garrett Jin stated that a ceasefire is a poison wrapped in sugar. Why does a ceasefire make us more bearish rather than more optimistic? The market is trading the logic that a brief ceasefire will evolve into lasting peace. But we believe this probability is less than 10%. The basis is that the conditions proposed by Iran are incompatible with U.S. demands, and no ceasefire terms have been implemented within 24 hours, and such a scale of conflict has never been resolved with a two-week pause in history. The actual probability may be even lower than 10%.

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