Brothers trading US stocks short-term, my advice is very direct: before the Federal Reserve rate decision is released at 2:00 a.m. on the 30th, try not to open new positions casually, especially in the Nasdaq and high-valuation tech stocks. At this kind of timing, it’s easiest to get thrust up and down; even if you guess the direction correctly, you may still get swept out first. Rather than betting on up or down in advance, it’s better to stay in cash and wait for the market to show its stance. The current interest-rate range is 3.50%—3.75%. Market consensus is still that the rate will remain unchanged, but there’s also a possibility of an unexpected 25-basis-point hike. In a Reuters survey of 104 economists, all of them predict that the Fed will hold rates steady this time. Personally, I also lean toward no hike. But what truly determines the market may not be the result itself—it may be the subsequent statement and the press conference. As long as they continue emphasizing inflation, or hint that a rate hike may still be on the table in September, the market can still first rise and then fall. This time, compared with the crypto market, I think the Nasdaq faces a bigger direct impact. Tech-stock valuations are very sensitive to interest rates and US Treasury yields. On top of that, in these days, they’re also colliding with earnings reports from tech giants—so the market is essentially trading both interest rates and earnings at the same time, leaving very little room for error. Crypto will move too, but the transmission is more indirect: the dollar and US Treasuries move first, then the Nasdaq signals, BTC follows risk appetite, and finally altcoins amplify volatility through leverage and liquidations. So my understanding is: the Nasdaq sets the direction, BTC amplifies the sentiment, and altcoins amplify the drawdown. In this situation, going to cash isn’t missing an opportunity—it’s keeping the initiative in your own hands. After the result comes out, seeing how the dollar, US Treasuries, and the Nasdaq move is often more stable than placing a bet in advance. $BTC $ETH $SOL

What happened to $1,000 invested in BTC, ETH $SOL in 2022? ​The crypto space is famous for its volatility, but the performance gap between the top assets over the last couple of years is staggering. I ran the numbers through the Kryptonal profit simulator tool, and the results highlight a massive divergence in the market. ​If you had invested $1,000 on January 1, 2022, here is exactly where you would stand today: ​🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) ​Current Value: $1,378.05 ​Return: +37.81% 📈 ​🔵 Ethereum (ETH) ​Current Value: $520.78 ​Return: -47.92% 📉 ​🟣 Solana (SOL) ​Current Value: $435.04 ​Return: -56.50% 📉 ​The Key Takeaway: While Bitcoin has proven its resilience and ability to recover its value since early 2022, major altcoins like Ethereum and Solana are still experiencing significant drawdowns from that specific entry point. It is a clear reminder of the market's "flight to quality" during macroeconomic shifts Bitcoin continues to act as the primary anchor for the entire sector.

This stretch of market action looks pretty strong—waves of a pump come one after another, and a lot of people probably had the urge to chase orders. But at the time, I felt something was off. After the price reached around 76861.4, whenever it tried to push upward, it always lacked sustained buy support. It looked lively on the surface, but in reality, every time it surged higher, someone would sell into the rally. This kind of strength didn’t convince me. After opening the short, the hardest part was that the market didn’t drop immediately. Instead, it shot in a quick spike—my mindset almost got thrown off. If you’ve been in crypto long enough, you know the real danger isn’t just one needle, but the inability to carry on at high levels for a long time. Later, when the price fell back to around 63900.7, the shorts finally regained the rhythm. This trade was ultimately recorded as +2931.7%. I didn’t change my judgment and chase after the brief rebound, and I didn’t exit at the most panicked moment. It seemed strong, yet nobody was continuously taking it. Once this kind of order flow loosens, the sell-off often turns out to be more direct than you’d imagine. Counterintuitive as it is, it actually makes it easier to hold on. $ETH $SOL