Tong Ge's 9.5 ETH strategy Enter a short near $ETH 2460-2480, stop-loss at 2500, first target 2430, second target 2400. Current price: 2448. Nonfarm data exceeded expectations. Yesterday, ETH followed BTC down from 2531 to 2430, with almost no meaningful resistance. The rebound to 2448 now is a recovery after being oversold, not a reversal. The 2460-2480 area above is the post-drop rebound resistance zone, and a rebound to this range will likely face continued pressure. The data has already provided the direction, and funds are moving into safe havens, making it difficult for the bulls to organize an effective counterattack. So don't go long; wait for a rebound to the resistance zone. 2430 below was already tested once yesterday. A break below it would target 2400, or even lower. Don't rush to buy the dip just because the market has already fallen; trade according to whatever signal the market gives, and don't go against the data.

September 5 market action shows a sharp reaction across major assets. Bitcoin came under pressure following the nonfarm payrolls data, while Ethereum also declined but its broader structure has not necessarily turned bearish yet. Meanwhile, gold remains an important trend to watch as macro uncertainty continues. $BTC $ETH $XAUUSD

"With a September Rate Hike Imminent, the Pricing Anchor for Global Risk Assets Is Breaking" The Fed’s September 15–16 rate-setting meeting is no longer about “whether it will hike rates.” August nonfarm payrolls increased by 162k, nearly triple market expectations, while the previous figure was cumulatively revised up by 55k; the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%—employment is not cooling, so inflation cannot come down, and Warsh’s “prices first” remarks at Jackson Hole were not posturing but a preview. The current federal funds rate is only 3.50%–3.75%, while the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly climbed above 5.2%; with the risk-free rate higher than the S&P 500’s earnings yield, the logic of funds flowing back from stocks into bonds is already in place. If August CPI on September 11 remains sticky, a 25-basis-point rate hike is merely a matter of time. The consequences will be cascading: a stronger dollar, capital outflows from emerging markets, pressure on gold and commodities, and high-valuation technology stocks bearing the brunt; Japanese and European government bond yields will rise in tandem, with mark-to-market losses on long-duration assets forcing deleveraging. With September historically the weakest month for U.S. stocks and policy disruptions likely in a midterm election year, the window for a pullback in global risk assets has opened. Cash is king: reduce positions first, then discuss direction. #BTC收复8万美元 $ETH