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$ETH 4-hour cycle List of trading instructions that can be executed directly
I. Core Premises and Iron Laws
- Applicable cycle: 4-hour swing, holding positions for 1-3 days, leverage strictly controlled between 1-5x, no high leverage above 10x
- Total position red line: total position in a single currency not exceeding 50%, only using 20% of investable funds to participate, profits and losses at your own risk
- Stop-loss iron law: all orders must include a stop-loss, forced reduction of position if loss exceeds 5%, never hold through a loss
II. Execution instructions for different scenarios
Scenario 1: Currently holding long (cost 2050-2080 USDT)
1. Current price 2096 USDT, retain 70% of the base position, set stop-loss at 2030 USDT, unconditional liquidation if below
2. Price reaches 2120-2130 USDT first resistance level, take profit on 30% of the position, lock in partial profit
3. Price rises to 2190-2200 USDT second strong resistance level, take profit on remaining 40% of the position, exit completely
4. If the price retraces to 2050-2060 USDT, and MACD and KDJ do not show a death cross, add 20% to the position, after adding, total position not exceeding 50%, set stop-loss at 2030 USDT
Scenario 2: No position, waiting to enter (main long, auxiliary short)
Main long strategy $ETH
1. First batch of low buy-in: price falls back to 2050-2060 USDT range, build 30% position, stop-loss at 2020 USDT, first take profit at 2120 USDT, second take profit at 2190-2200 USDT
2. Second batch breakout entry: price stabilizes at 2125-2135 USDT (breakthrough 24h high), build 20% position, stop-loss at 2100 USDT, first take profit at 2190 USDT, second take profit at 2250 USDT
Secondary short strategy (only short-term speculation, strictly light positions) $ETH
1. First short attempt: price reaches 2120-2130 USDT, build 10%-15% position, stop-loss at 2150 USDT, take profit at 2070-2080 USDT, exit at target
2. Second short attempt: price reaches 2190-2200 USDT, build 15% position, stop-loss at 2220 USDT, take profit at 2130-2140 USDT, exit at target
Scenario 3: Holding short (contrarian position)
1. Current price 2096 USDT, if position exceeds 20%, immediately reduce to below 10% to avoid liquidation risk
2. Move stop-loss up to 2130 USDT, if price breaks 2130 USDT, liquidate all positions unconditionally
3. Price retraces to 2070-2080 USDT range, take profit on all positions and exit, avoid fighting the trend
III. Trend warning and emergency operations
Bullish continuation signals (hold/add positions)
- Price stabilizes above the upper Bollinger Band at 2103 USDT, retests without falling below
- MACD red bars continue to enlarge, DIF line remains upward
- KDJ forms a golden cross after retracement, J line not exceeding 90 (severe overbought)
Bullish reversal signals (immediate take profit/stop-loss)
- 4-hour close below the middle Bollinger Band at 2034 USDT, liquidate 100%
- MACD red bars rapidly shorten, DIF crosses below DEA forming a death cross, exit all positions
- KDJ forms a death cross at high levels, J line quickly falls below 50, exit all positions
- Trading volume significantly shrinks, upward momentum weak, take profit in batches
IV. Operation time reference
- Best operation window: before 4-hour candle closes (Beijing time 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00, 24:00)
- Prohibited operation windows: before and after major macro data releases such as Federal Reserve rate decisions, Non-farm Payrolls
- Daily review time: daily at 16:00 after 4-hour candle closes, review indicators and positions, adjust plans for the next day