Effondrement des marchés boursiers mondiaux, l'indice Shanghai franchit à la baisse les moyennes mobiles 5/10 jours

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Second day of Middle East conflict, global stock markets plummet, with declines exceeding the first day. Japanese stocks drop over 3%, Korean stocks plunge over 7%. Major European indices fall more than 2%, US pre-market declines widen, Nasdaq futures down about 2%, fear index up over 9%. A-shares open high but decline later, accelerating in the afternoon, closing with the Shanghai Composite down 1.43%, Shenzhen Component down 3.07%, ChiNext down 2.57%. Total trading volume for the three markets is about 31.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 111.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day; over 4,800 stocks in the market declined. This adjustment in A-shares differs from last year’s trade war period in terms of fundamental impact, being more driven by risk-averse sentiment.

From a technical perspective, the Shanghai Index broke below the 5/10-day moving averages, indicating a shift from short-term strength to weakness. The 20-day and 30-day moving averages are nearly coincident, providing short-term support for the index, which will be tested on Wednesday. If support holds, the index will be stable in the short term; if not, the only support left may be the bull-bear dividing line. In the early stages of geopolitical conflict, reactions in oil, gas, and shipping are the fastest and most direct, mainly short-term emotional speculation; however, in the long run, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and military industry are expected to have stronger sustainability. Qianyan

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