Beijing time Sunday at 0:00 just passed (Saturday Eastern Time), Trump posted on social media that he will sign an agreement with Iran on Sunday, reopening the Strait of Hormuz (very specific). Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated that Pakistan, as a mediator, is preparing to sign the peace agreement electronically, "followed by technical level talks next week." First, this news has been corroborated by Pakistan, increasing credibility. But Iran's national broadcasting reported that a spokesperson denied the possibility of signing the agreement on Sunday. Based on the details provided by Trump, it is unlikely Iran will agree. On one hand, Iran will not receive any funds from the agreement, and will only "release in phases" after fulfilling its obligations. On the other hand, Iran's highly enriched uranium will also need to be destroyed. Second, Trump's statement of "signing on Sunday" likely means Beijing time Monday from 6:00 to 12:00. If the signing occurs, it will cause a huge震动 in global financial markets on Monday, and the possibility of "news landing, good news exhausted" needs to be considered. If "not signing," the market will be greatly disappointed. It is expected that on Monday evening, Trump will have a second "major news" hidden. Third, next Thursday (Wednesday afternoon Eastern Time), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and the dot plot may "hint at a rate hike." Economic data triggering "rate hike concerns" was the root cause of the market plunge earlier this week, and next week the Fed may "directly hint at a rate hike," which will revive "rate hike panic." Trump needs to use the Iran issue to create chaos around the Fed meeting to attract market attention. · If the electronic signing goes smoothly on Monday: the Strait of Hormuz reopens, oil prices plummet, reducing the probability of Fed rate hikes. · If signing cannot be completed on Monday (continue to drag on): Trump can still release tweets about "negotiation progress, soon to be resolved" on Tuesday and Wednesday, keeping the global media in the spotlight. Using the Iran issue to divert or even hedge the market's "rate hike panic" at the beginning of the week. In any case, Monday will definitely go down in history as a Monday with extremely high coffee consumption.