Deep game between Bitcoin longs and shorts｜Analysis of two core viewpoints

At present, the bullish and bearish divergence in the Bitcoin market has reached its peak, with two camps holding completely opposite logic:

🟢 Core logic of the bulls
Spot ETF continues to maintain net inflows, with a total inflow of 2.12 billion USD on the 9th, institutional funds continue to support;
The price stabilizes above the key support level of 77,000 USD, the moving average structure is intact, a bull flag consolidation pattern is gathering strength, and there is potential to surge to 85,000 USD in the future.

🔴 Core logic of the bears
The average holding cost of US ETF users is 87,830 USD, and the high-position short-term pressure creates strong suppression;
Technically, the RSI indicator shows a bearish divergence, upward momentum gradually diminishes, and short-term correction risks should not be underestimated.

⚪️ Future market judgment
In the short term, 80,000 USD is used as the emotional dividing line, with 85,000 USD as the key battleground for bulls and bears.
A valid breakthrough confirms a new upward trend, while long-term pressure below 80,000 USD requires caution against bull trap risks.

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