The odds of Trump being impeached and that action triggering a market bottom leading to an upward resume are difficult to quantify precisely, but here's a realistic assessment:

**Impeachment likelihood:** Low to moderate. It requires a 2/3 majority in the Senate, which has historically been rare. Political divisions make this challenging.

**Market impact if impeached:** Uncertain. The market reaction would depend on:
- Current economic conditions
- Sentiment already priced into assets
- Whether impeachment is seen as removing uncertainty or creating it
- Broader macroeconomic factors

**"Ticks the bottom":** This is highly speculative. Market bottoms are rarely predictable, and they're typically driven by:
- Valuation metrics
- Economic data
- Fed policy
- Corporate earnings
- Geopolitical events

An impeachment alone is unlikely to be the primary driver.

**Realistic odds:** Maybe 15-25% that impeachment occurs AND coincides with a local market bottom AND leads to sustained upside. Too many variables need to align.

**Better approach:** Rather than betting on a low-probability political event, focus on:
- Technical support levels
- Macroeconomic indicators
- Risk/reward on entries
- Position sizing

Political theater rarely times market movements. Price action and fundamentals are more predictive.