June 15, 2026 ETH Contract Strategy (Current Price ~1,715 USDT) Core tone: Daily chart shows a major bearish trend, short-term linkage with BTC weak rebound; insufficient volume, mainly shorting on rebounds, key support with light positions for testing longs. 1. Trend Structure (D1) • Moving Averages: Price below 200MA (~2,400), medium-term bearish; short-term stabilizes above 50MA (1,673), short-term bullish with medium-term bearish. • Pattern: Fell from April high, approximately 24% decline this month; currently consolidating in the 1,650–1,700 range, weak rebound continues. • RSI(14): ≈46.5, neutral, exits oversold but not strong. • MACD: Below zero line, green bars converging, bearish weakening, no golden cross, rebound not a reversal. • Volume: 24-hour volume mildly increasing but not significantly, rebound sustainability doubtful. 2. Key Support/Resistance (Short-term core) Resistance (Shorting zone) • R1: 1,730–1,750 (Intraday strong resistance, short-term trapped positions) • R2: 1,780–1,800 (Rebound watershed, liquidity dense) • R3: 1,830 (Fibonacci 38.2%, strong resistance) Support (Longing zone) • S1: 1,680–1,690 (Intraday key support, pivot point) • S2: 1,650–1,660 (Yesterday’s low, critical for rebound) • S3: 1,600–1,620 (Strong support, bottom of this decline) 3. 4H Trading Strategy (Can be executed directly) 1) Short positions (main strategy, trend-following) • Entry: 1,730–1,750 with resistance, bearish candle/long upper shadow • Stop-loss: above 1,760 (above R2) • Take profit: 1,690 → 1,650 (partial exits) • Position size: ≤20% (before FOMC meeting) 2) Long positions (secondary, rebound) • Entry: 1,650–1,660 with stabilization, bullish candle/long lower shadow • Stop-loss: below 1,640 (below S2) • Take profit: 1,710 → 1,740 (exit on resistance) • Position size: ≤10% (weak rebound, light positions) 3) Wait-and-see (neutral zone) • Range: 1,690–1,730, oscillating, no strong breakout, avoid heavy positions. 4. Risk Control and Macro Rules • Position size: Before the June 16 FOMC meeting, single trade ≤20%, total position ≤30%. • Breakout rules: ◦ Volume breakout above 1,750 → stop short positions, wait or lightly long. ◦ Volume breakdown below 1,650 → stop long positions, follow trend to short. • Macro: ETH ETF capital flows fluctuate, rebound height limited, strictly avoid chasing longs. 5. Today’s One Sentence Summary Short 1,730–1,750, long 1,650–1,660, watch for oscillation; do not look for longs if above 1,760, do not expect deep drops #我的Gate交易时刻 if below 1,640.

6.15 Mistress Market Outlook: Do not chase high during weak rebounds; the main tone remains high-altitude selling $ETH Mistress current price about 1720, a slight rebound of 1.8% over 24 hours, mainly following Bitcoin’s weak correction after being oversold, and the rebound elasticity is obviously weaker than Bitcoin — when Bitcoin rises, it struggles to follow, and when the market slightly pulls back, it drops even more. To sum up: there are no signs of a reversal in the downtrend, and this is only a correction during the ongoing decline. Blindly bottom-fishing is highly likely to result in being trapped. In terms of operation, stick to high-altitude selling and light accumulation at low levels. Entry: around 1725-1740, with support at 1760, watch 1650-1600 Core fundamentals: institutions continue to exit, ecosystem lacks incremental support ETF funds continue to bleed, mid-term selling pressure remains US spot Ethereum ETF still in net outflow, top institutions like BlackRock and others continue to see fund withdrawals, with a total net outflow exceeding $1.2 billion. Institutional funds have not shown clear signs of returning, which is the main factor suppressing ETH’s mid-term trend. On-chain fundamentals are weak, lacking upward driving force Ethereum DeFi total locked value continues to decline, NFT market activity remains low, network Gas fees are persistently low, real demand growth in the ecosystem is insufficient, and the fundamentals cannot support an independent upward trend; staking demand grows slowly and cannot offset the continuous selling pressure from ETFs. Highly correlated with Bitcoin, no independent trend Currently, Mistress is highly correlated with Bitcoin, with its movement fully tied to the market, and the coin’s relative strength is weaker than Bitcoin. Market funds are clearly favoring the market leader. Until Bitcoin’s trend stabilizes, Mistress is unlikely to break out into an independent reversal trend. #比特币反弹

June 15, 2026 ETH Contract Technical Analysis (Current Price ~1,710 USDT) Core tone: Daily chart shows a large bearish trend, short-term linkage with BTC strength; rebound volume is average, high levels are somewhat bearish, key support levels favor long positions low down. 1. Trend Structure (D1) • Moving Averages: Price below 200MA (~2,400), medium-term bearish; short-term above 50MA (1,673), short-term bullish with medium-term bearish. • Pattern: Retraced from April high, about 24% decline this month; currently consolidating in the 1,650–1,700 range, weak rebound continues. • RSI(14): ≈46.5, neutral, exits oversold but not strong. • MACD: Below zero line, green bars converging, bearish weakening, no golden cross, rebound is not a reversal. • Volume: 24-hour volume mildly increasing but not significantly, rebound sustainability doubtful. 2. Key Support/Resistance (Short-term core) Resistance (Shorting zone) • R1: 1,730–1,750 (Intraday strong resistance, short-term trapped positions) • R2: 1,780–1,800 (Rebound watershed, liquidity dense) • R3: 1,830 (Fibonacci 38.2%, strong resistance) Support (Longing zone) • S1: 1,680–1,690 (Intraday key support, pivot point) • S2: 1,650–1,660 (Yesterday’s low, critical for rebound) • S3: 1,600–1,620 (Strong support, bottom of this decline) 3. 4H Technical Details • Pattern: Low-level oscillating upward channel, upper band pressure strong, only bullish if breaking above the upper band. • Volume & Price: Rising with decreasing volume, falling with increasing volume, weak buying momentum, fragile rebound. • Linkage: Dominated by BTC, BTC strength supports ETH rebound, BTC weakness makes ETH prone to breakdown. 4. Today’s Trading Ideas • Main Strategy (Bearish bias): Resistance at 1,730–1,750 with long upper shadows, lightly short, stop loss above 1,760, target 1,690 → 1,650. • Secondary Strategy (Low Long): Support at 1,650–1,660 with bullish candles/long lower shadows, lightly long, stop loss below 1,640, target 1,710 → 1,740. • Observation Zone: Range-bound between 1,690–1,730, avoid heavy positions without a breakout. 5. Risk Control & Macro Reminders • Position sizing: Before the June 16 Fed meeting, single trade ≤20%, total position ≤30%. • Breakout Rules: ◦ Volume breakout above 1,750 → stop loss on shorts, observe or lightly add longs. ◦ Volume breakdown below 1,650 → stop loss on longs, add to shorts accordingly. • Macro: ETH ETF capital flows fluctuate, rebound height is limited, strictly avoid chasing longs. 6. One Sentence Summary for Today Short at 1,730–1,750, long at 1,650–1,660, observe in between; do not look for longs unless above 1,760, do not expect deep drops #预测世界杯西班牙VS佛得角 unless below 1,640.