Aug 1st THENA morning BTC/ETH short-term market analysis The cycle trend shows a choppy and corrective pattern. After the earlier sharp drop, the price stabilized at low levels and rebounded slightly, but the rebound momentum is insufficient. Overall, it remains in a weak range; the larger bearish structure has not been reversed yet. For the short term, treat it with a range-bound consolidation approach. BTC Resistance range: 63,100–63,400. If the rebound is met with resistance, short entries can be considered. Stop loss: 63,800. Targets: 62,600–62,400. Support range: 62,400. Only a sustained hold can open up more room for the rebound. ETH Resistance range: 1,875–1,890. Focus on shorting at the higher end of rebounds. Stop loss: 1,915. Targets: 1,850–1,847. Below, 1,847 is the key support level for this round’s low point.$BTC $ETH

$BTC $SOL $ETH On July 30, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% with a vote of 9 to 3. The three votes against it were a rare situation since 2016, with some policymakers arguing for a direct rate hike. Federal Reserve Chair Wosh stressed that the 2% inflation target must be met, and his hawkish remarks are dampening market optimism. Although the “no rate hike” decision itself is a positive, internal disagreements keep investors cautious; after the decision, Bitcoin briefly broke above $64k and then fell back. #Citadel折价接盘SituationalAwareness持股 Pay attention to a small Havana dog named Marvin by Musk, which is one of the most special things in his life. New Marvin 6-8 is about to be launched. Stay tuned for the latest developments from the AW International community.

This new Fed chair, Wosh, was tough-talking right after taking office. He was shouting every day, “Inflation is too high,” and “We must bring it back to 2%,” scaring everyone so badly they thought rate hikes were coming this year. So what happened? The moment the July FOMC meeting wrapped up, he suddenly talked like he was all hawk on the surface, but in his heart it was all just numbers. He said the inflation target would never be compromised. Then, somehow, he actually set up a working group to study redefining how inflation is calculated! The method he recommended—the “trimmed mean approach,” which strips out the most extreme price swings—could pull PCE inflation data that was originally above 3% instantly back to around 2.2%. With this trick, doesn’t inflation look like it’s officially hit the target? Let’s just say, is it 6 or not 6. Sure~! Smart money in the market understood it immediately: rate-hike expectations collapsed in an instant, long-term bond yields spiked, and everyone knows in their hearts that this guy most likely has a dove hidden up his sleeve. You can only say the advantages and opportunities are obvious: liquidity is the lifeblood of the crypto market. If the Fed really manages to stabilize interest rates, even move toward easing, by using this kind of 【metric adjustment】, then for BTC and the whole market, it’s absolutely a long-term, foundational positive. As long as liquidity isn’t kept draining away, the market’s macro base won’t break, and it can even jump up anytime by riding on liquidity expectations. But the limitations and risks are right there too: everyone should not assume this will immediately trigger a big surge. On one hand, whether there’s a rate hike in September is still a fight inside the Fed, so in the short term the market will definitely bounce around with all kinds of news. On the other hand, using this kind of wordplay to pretend inflation has fallen is, in essence, mortgaging the Fed’s credibility. If one day real inflation comes back to bite and the market can’t cover it, the pullback could be very brutal too. $BTC $BTC #美联储维持利率不变