30 democratas americanos impulsionam proibição de mercados preditivos? Polémica de negociação privilegiada na Polymarket desencadeia tempestade regulatória

【Blockchain Rhythm】As prediction markets are stirring up trouble again. A group of Democratic members of the U.S. Congress has decided to take action on this unregulated territory of prediction markets — including some prominent political figures, 30 people jointly support a new bill with the core objective of prohibiting elected officials from engaging in politics-related gambling on prediction markets.

How did this blow up? The trigger was an account on Polymarket — someone went on a betting spree wagering that a former Venezuelan president would be arrested, and they actually made $400,000. Sounds a bit terrifying, doesn’t it? The market immediately erupted, with insider trading suspicions coming thick and fast.

To plug this loophole, New York State Representative Richie Torres formally submitted the “Financial Prediction Market Public Integrity Act of 2026” on Friday. The name itself sounds very serious — the starting point of the bill is actually straightforward, just wanting to ensure officials don’t use internal information to profit in prediction markets.

This move reflects a reality: although prediction markets sound cutting-edge, the regulatory gaps also carry considerable risks. Looking at this Polymarket incident, without clear rules in place, the information asymmetry advantage is indeed easy to be exploited. What happens next will depend on how the U.S. Congress balances innovation and risk.