📈 BTC: Major Trend Unchanged, But Don’t Rush In

On the daily chart, BTC’s overall trend actually remains unchanged. Previously, a cluster of bullish divergence candles triggered a fairly clear rebound, but it’s still too early to determine if this is the “main breakout” of this cycle. If we measure by the range of movement, the $98,000 area is a more reasonable medium-term target for the current rebound.
However, BTC is narrowing its range again and closing red candles, indicating that the price may want to retest the neckline before moving further. Therefore, the best weekend strategy remains: Don’t chase trades – Don’t FOMO – Wait for the pattern to complete before entering.

📊 4-Hour Chart: Short-Term Trend Still Weak
On H4, the price is consistently suppressed below the MA200, showing that short-term buying power is still not strong enough to reverse the trend. Only when BTC closes candles steadily above the MA200 can we say the market is truly shifting its trend.
Since last night, the KDJ indicator has started turning downward, causing a slight price correction. But this drop isn’t deep enough, meaning there could still be another “push down” in the near future. However, the expected range isn’t too large — leaning more toward a shakeout than a strong reversal.

👉 Trading Conclusion
• Daily: Trend isn’t bearish yet, but a retest is needed → don’t rush to catch tops or bottoms.
• H4: Still a weak zone; unless it breaks above MA200, any rally is just a technical rebound.
• Strategy: Observe and wait for a clear pattern — avoid jumping in before market confirmation.