BTC moves are increasingly about flows + liquidity Bitcoin can move hard without a new headline. Why? Because flows can change the available liquidity. The first three September ETF sessions showed extreme variation: Sep 1: -$236.5M Sep 2: +$101.1M Sep 3: +$730.9M BTC also moved from roughly $77.4K to $81.3K across those sessions. Hidden angle: Price is only the visible layer. Capital entering or leaving regulated products can change the market’s balance underneath. Thesis: BTC strength is more credible when positive flows persist rather than appear as isolated spikes. Confirmation: sustained ETF inflows plus expanding spot participation. Invalidation: large inflows fail to support price. Are BTC flows broadening liquidity — or concentrating it? ‍$BTC $NAS100 ‍#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #GateSquare

#CoinDeskRevealsGateRWAPerpetualsTop3Globally $BTC USDT is sitting at $77:324:6, but the bigger story is not the price — it’s what BTC is absorbing. Fresh US inflation data pushed markets toward an expected Fed rate hike next week, with rate futures pricing around 85% probability. At the same time, BTC is still holding above the $76K area instead of breaking down. Key numbers: • Price: $77:324:6 • 24H range: $76,047–$79,890 • 24H volume: ~$35.39B • BTC futures OI: ~$51.82B • Funding: +0.0062% / 8h That creates the real battle: Macro = bearish pressure. Price = surprisingly resilient. For BTCUSDT, I’m watching $79.9K first. A clean breakout and hold above it would reopen the path toward the $82K resistance zone. But if $76K breaks decisively, this resilience thesis weakens and downside pressure can accelerate. The key question: Will BTC break resistance before macro pressure breaks support? Gate pair: BTC/USDT ANGLE BTC resilience vs. a newly hawkish Fed backdrop. WHY IT COULD IMPACT BTC is absorbing stronger rate-hike expectations while derivatives remain heavily active. That makes $76K support and $79.9K resistance the clearest near-term decision zone. RISK A loss of $76K would invalidate the short-term resilience thesis. A failed breakout near $79.9K–$82K could also trigger another rejection, especially while macro conditions remain restrictive.

#AugustCoreCPIBeatsExpectations The August core CPI report presents a mixed picture that increases the risk of short-term headwinds for risk assets. Impact on September Fed Rate Hike Probabilities Yes, the rise in monthly core CPI reinforces expectations for tight monetary policy. Headline vs. Core Inflation: While headline CPI (0.4% monthly; 3.4% annual) and annual core CPI (2.4%) came in line with forecasts, the 0.3% monthly increase in core inflation exceeded the expected 0.2% rate. Since the Federal Reserve places significant weight on monthly core trends to assess underlying price stickiness, this 0.3% monthly rise—the highest level since May signals a potential hurdle in the underlying disinflation process. Shift in Market Pricing: Driven by higher-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data (a 0.4% monthly rise) and the continued strength of Brent crude oil prices, there was significant activity in interest rate futures markets. Market expectations (probability) for a 25-basis-point rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting rose to the 85%–90% range. *Impact on US Treasury Yields: Reflecting expectations for tighter policy and a higher terminal interest rate, the yield on the US two-year Treasury note climbed toward the 4.61% level. Pressure on Bitcoin (BTC) *Yes, Bitcoin is facing structural resistance and short-term downward pressure. *Liquidity and Opportunity Cost: Rising bond yields and a strengthening US dollar increase the cost of holding non-yielding, speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. Volatile Price Action: BTC experienced sharp fluctuations immediately following the data release; as investors assessed the report's mixed signals—annual core inflation easing to 2.4% versus monthly core inflation exceeding expectations at 0.3% the price briefly dipped to the $76,700 level before recovering toward $77,400 Over $700 million in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated during this market volatility. Critical Levels to Watch: Support ($76,000–$77,000): Holding above this range prevents a deeper pullback toward critical demand zones located lower down. A sustained break below the $76,000 level would signal a continuation of the pullback driven by macroeconomic factors. Resistance ($79,000–$80,000): To regain upward momentum, BTC needs to break back above the $80,000 level, where significant sell-side liquidity resides. --- Overview While the continued deceleration of annual core CPI toward the 2.4% level presents a positive long-term picture, the current volatility in monthly core inflation ensures that the Fed will maintain a hawkish stance ahead of its policy meeting. Until interest rate expectations stabilize and Treasury yields ease, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a specific range, likely exhibiting a defensive bias. $BTC ‌