Just received a "large transfer" red dot on my phone, and the group immediately started interpreting that smart money is about to enter… I won't get excited yet.

In this kind of blockchain game pool, the biggest fear isn't no one calling the shots, but that once the gate opens, it’s like tap water: coins are being issued daily at a fixed rate, buy orders are supported by new user deposits, inflation pushes the price downward, the pool depth becomes shallow, and the slippage curve turns into a cliff.
A big holder casually dumps, and the rest can only take turns catching the bag.
Exchanges moving hot and cold wallets around might just be relocating, anyway, I see liquidity thinning and want to withdraw—saving my life comes first, for now, that's it.