Trump once again proved that initiating a short-term war comes at the cost of a long-term conflict.

Those media and institutions that believed the conflict would end in April have undoubtedly been severely proven wrong.
In military confrontation, if the stronger side (the United States) rushes to fight a quick and decisive war,
it may actually give the weaker side (Iran) the greatest incentive to delay.
Iran is very aware that on the front line, hard confrontation would leave them with no chance of victory, so Iran clearly understands that the best strategy for the weaker side is to infinitely increase the opponent’s war costs.
Using extremely cheap drones to harass or even paralyze the Strait of Hormuz, the world's energy artery, or directly bomb the oil fields of Middle Eastern tycoons.
By cutting off energy supply lines, dragging the US and its allies into a quagmire of high inflation, forcing the other side to make concessions because their economy cannot withstand the pressure.
Currently, the mainstream market view remains relatively optimistic, believing that a ceasefire could be achieved by the end of April, which in turn seriously underestimates the risk of the war being prolonged.
Such incidents have happened before; a replay of the 1979 oil crisis is also not impossible.
Iran’s drone reserves are sufficient to sustain more than half a year, as long as they withstand systematic US strikes and continue to sabotage energy facilities.
Global oil supply could sharply deteriorate within two or three months, and this is the real global black swan.
$NMR ‌#Gate广场四月发帖挑战