First, let’s talk about this major development: Iran proposed a 7-day ceasefire, but Trump flatly rejected it and even said he plans to deal with Iran after the November midterm elections, without ruling out continued bombing. Simply put: The time bomb in the Middle East has not been defused for now. The risk of conflict is still hanging overhead, with no complete de-escalation. The ceasefire talks have fallen apart, but fighting has not broken out immediately either, leaving the situation in limbo. Looking ahead, BTC is already in a weak correction phase, and the bulls do not have much strength to begin with. This Middle East news is effectively an “external disruptor.” If the situation worsens, U.S. Treasuries and the dollar could strengthen, putting risk assets under pressure. BTC will most likely be dragged down as well. It is already weak, and another blow from negative news could trigger an even sharper decline. In the short term, the bears still have the upper hand. $BTC $ETH $XRP #ETH站上2700美元 #BTC短线回调

The most unusual detail in today’s market action is not that ALGO rose 10.84%, but that its price of 0.1309 has moved above the upper Bollinger Band at 0.129858—in the context of an amplitude of approximately 14% over 30 candlesticks, this kind of “hugging the upper band” structure usually indicates an accelerating trend rather than a top. $ALG Currently, MA5=0.1279 is above MA20=0.120535, forming a bullish moving-average alignment. This is the first layer in determining whether the trend is healthy: short-term moving averages above long-term moving averages while both rise simultaneously indicates sustained buying support rather than a one-day impulse. The second layer is momentum: the MACD histogram at +0.00148 remains bullish, but RSI has reached 73.1 and entered overbought territory, meaning the risk of chasing highs is accumulating. The third layer is sentiment: the Fear and Greed Index at 74 is in the greed zone, while the funding rate of +0.0100% is positive, indicating that longs are paying to maintain positions and leverage is becoming crowded. Taken together: the trend is healthy, but the pace is overheated. A reusable approach is—use moving averages to determine direction, RSI to determine pace, and the funding rate to determine crowding; only when the three diverge is it necessary to watch for a reversal. In terms of execution, I lean bullish but would not chase highs. I would wait for a pullback near MA5 at 0.1279 to enter, as this level is also close to the support above the middle Bollinger Band. Take-profit 1 is at 0.1360 (extension of the previous high), take-profit 2 is at 0.1420 (amplitude expansion target), and the stop-loss is at 0.1230 (the bullish structure would weaken if MA5 is broken and the middle Bollinger Band is lost). Also monitoring: $GLM and $XRP ; the former fell 22.67% over 24 hours and is clearly weak, while the latter fell only 0.78% and is relatively resilient. (Personal opinion for reference only; this does not constitute any investment advice. Futures trading carries extremely high risk; please strictly control your position size.) [Data] Symbol: ALGOUSDT Direction: Long Entry: 0.1270-0.1285 Take-profit 1: 0.1360 Take-profit 2: 0.1420 Stop-loss: 0.1230

This week, Bitcoin ETFs attracted $2.4 billion, the largest weekly inflow since October 2025. Most of the money came in at the start of the week, with nearly $1 billion flowing in on Monday alone, showing intense enthusiasm. However, the broader market has pulled back over the past two days, and the pace of inflows has slowed. Ethereum and Ripple ETFs also benefited, receiving some of the funds. In my view, the $2.4 billion shows that institutional confidence in Bitcoin has not collapsed. After the price fell from above $87k, long-term funds did not flee either—buying into rallies and buying the dip. Market sentiment is shifting from frenzy to rationality. Next, watch the start of next week to see whether Bitcoin can hold the $87k level. If it holds, funds may continue flowing back; if not, there are still two support levels below at $79k and $74k. Next, watch the Ethereum and Ripple ETFs. If they see large net inflows for consecutive periods, it will indicate that funds are spilling over from Bitcoin into altcoins. This signal has already begun to emerge, and it is worth continuing to monitor.#Strategy与Strive本周合计增持2305枚比特币