Polymarket 在印尼面臨禁令，因全球打擊力度日益加大

在全球打擊線上賭博和預測市場的背景下，印尼已加入限制Polymarket和類似平台的司法管轄區行列，此前一則有關總統任期的賭注引起了線上關注。

Indonesia Blocks Access To Polymarket

Indonesia recently blocked access to the prediction market platform Polymarket after a widely shared bet on the premature end of Prabowo Subianto’s presidency gained traction on social media last week.

In an official statement, the Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs announced the ban, affirming that the measure aims to protect the public, particularly the younger generation and users of the digital space.

Director General of Digital Space Supervision Alexander Sabar affirmed that platforms facilitating real-money wagers on event outcomes are considered gambling, even when framed as “prediction markets” and using blockchain technology or crypto assets.

“The government will not tolerate any form of online gambling in Indonesia. Activities like Polymarket involve monetary betting and speculation on events with uncertain outcomes, which violates applicable Indonesian laws,” Alex emphasized.

Therefore, authorities will block access to other prediction market services suspected of “facilitating online gambling practices.” In addition, the government is tracking down social media accounts affiliated with or promoting Polymarket to ensure the ban is enforced across other platforms.

The Ministry also urged the public not to access or engage in digital betting-based speculation activities, including those using crypto, as these activities could violate Indonesian laws and cause financial losses for users.

全球監管壓力升高

印尼當局指出，他們限制訪問Polymarket的決定與其他全球法律框架一致。正如公告所述，其他幾個司法管轄區也已對Polymarket和其他預測市場平台採取措施，理由是它們類似於線上賭博行為。

在過去兩年中，台灣、泰國、中國和印度根據各自的本地法律對Polymarket實施了限制，而新加坡、哥倫比亞和印度則正式封鎖了該平台。

今年三月，阿根廷當局在Polymarket預測通脹數據後，命令全國封鎖該平台。據Bitcoinist報導，布宜諾斯艾利斯法院指示網路服務提供商、谷歌和蘋果封鎖對該平台的訪問，理由是其作為未經許可的線上賭博平台運營。

同時，巴西中央銀行在三月宣布禁止預測市場和賭博平台，包括Polymarket和Kalshi。當局表示，這些平台未能遵守當地的衍生品交易規定，並對投資者保護和市場完整性表示擔憂。

預測市場在美國也受到審查，政策制定者和州級當局對該行業施加壓力。上週，眾議院議員James Comer對Polymarket和Kalshi展開正式調查，原因是與美國軍事機密行動和重要地緣政治事件相關的一系列可疑交易。

這位立法者宣布，他已向兩家公司的CEO發送信函，尋求有關其平台如何檢測和防止內線交易的資訊。他還要求提供有關他們如何驗證用戶身份以及如何執行對限制管轄區用戶的禁令的詳細資料。同一天，這兩家預測市場巨頭在內華達州和華盛頓州的反賭博執法行動中都未能成功阻止相關措施。