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2026.3.17 ETH Morning Analysis$ETH
ETH has rallied from the 2085 low to a 2384 high, with gains approaching 300 points.
The 4H timeframe displays a clear five-wave uptrend structure, with two main impulsive waves from 2112 to 2248 and 2272 to 2384 respectively, with sufficient pullback and consolidation completed in the 2233 to 2307 zone in between. The current price of 2371 is oscillating in the high zone of the second main impulsive wave. In the early morning, there was a classic liquidity sweep—price surged to 2384 then quickly dropped to 2329, followed by a V-shaped rebound back to 2371, forming wide-range oscillations between 2329 and 2385.
From a structural perspective, the 4H major trend remains strongly bullish with eight consecutive green candles, EMA20 far above EMA50, and price holding above all moving averages. However, the 1H timeframe is showing warning signals: the 2384 spike-high pullback has formed a potential double top pattern, and if the 2329 low breaks, it will confirm a 1H CHoCH reversal to bearish. Currently, the core range for the bulls-bears battle is between 2340 to 2385, with 2340 to 2350 as a strong demand zone (starting points of two early morning V-rebounds) and 2378 to 2385 as a strong supply zone (rejected twice on spike-highs). The funding rate is -0.0014%, indicating slightly bearish sentiment but with minimal magnitude.
Today's operational strategy recommends mainly going long on pullbacks. Do not trade against the 4H trend with short positions. Wait for price to retest the 2350 to 2355 demand zone and confirm a bottom before going long, or chase the breakout after volume-confirmed break above 2385. Only attempt light short positions with clear reversal signals in the 2380 to 2385 resistance zone.