$XRP Short-term bias is bullish, but this is only an oversold rebound, not a trend reversal. Current price is 1.3687. MA5=1.34918 has fallen below MA20=1.39393, and the medium-term moving averages are still exerting pressure, but the price has regained MA5, indicating that short-term selling pressure is beginning to weaken. RSI=39.5, close to the oversold zone but not below 30, leaving room for a rebound; the MACD histogram=-0.002952 remains bearish, and momentum has not yet turned positive. This is the key basis for viewing it as a rebound rather than a reversal. The Bollinger lower band at 1.33764 is support at this cycle’s low, while the upper band at 1.45022 is distant resistance. The current price is near the lower band, making the risk-reward ratio tilt bullish. The funding rate is -0.0082%, meaning shorts are paying, creating the conditions for a short squeeze; the Fear and Greed Index remains at 64, still in greed territory, indicating that the market has not truly panicked, so expectations for the rebound’s upside should not be too high. Entry reference: Scale into long positions in the 1.345–1.360 range, as this zone is close to the confluence support of MA5 and the Bollinger lower band, and RSI is prone to forming a bullish divergence here. Take-profit 1: 1.394, corresponding to the MA20 resistance level and the previous heavy trading zone. Take-profit 2: 1.430, near the Bollinger upper band; if MACD turns positive, this level may come into view. Stop-loss: 1.330. Exit if the price breaks below the Bollinger lower band decisively, as the oversold-rebound thesis would be invalidated. Also monitor: $HEMI and $SOXLB. Their RSI readings are approximately 39.4 and 25.3, respectively, both in weak territory. SOXLB is already close to an extreme oversold level; in terms of relative strength, XRP has the most stable structure. (Personal opinion for reference only; this does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk; please strictly control your position size.) [Data] Coin: XRPUSDT Direction: Long Entry: 1.345-1.360 Take-profit 1: 1.394 Take-profit 2: 1.430 Stop-loss: 1.330

I was just about to go to the forum and rant, but then I saw my balance. Never mind—the market is always right. A few days ago, when it repeatedly pushed higher in the afternoon, the overhead resistance above $CAP was right there. Every push upward fell just short, volume failed to follow, and there was no one to take the offer even when it moved up—the bull trap smell was too strong. I warned at the time that it was facing resistance at the highs, so don’t rush to enter. Shorting all the way from 0.08720 to 0.0733, with floating profit at +313.18%, this short trade delivered the answer. The timing was spot-on; it was really sluggish at first, but the move turned out beautifully. The market is won by waiting, and profits are built by holding. Panic comes from having no plan; losses come from overthinking. Close 80% first, and protect the remaining 20% at breakeven. If the sell-off continues, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don’t give the profits back. For those who haven’t boarded yet, take it from me: now is not the time to charge in. Chasing entries makes it easy to get stuck at the top. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and I’ll give a prompt signal. Don’t chase what you miss; move the protection level to breakeven. The market never lacks opportunities—it lacks patience. $XRP $ETH

I didn’t do anything—just went to the restroom, and when I came back, that upper wick had already done the work for me. I opened the chart in the morning, and $SOL surged toward the previous high. Every push upward fell just short, with sell orders pressing it down hard, so I laid out my short plan around 120.80. At the time, I said just one thing: under pressure at the highs, volume hasn’t followed—don’t rush to catch a falling knife. The result: from 120.80 to 109.61, this short trade delivered +860.32%. Those who were on board should have woken up laughing. I’d rather miss a limit-up move than catch a falling knife and end up covered in blood. I took profit on +860.32% and put it in my pocket. I’m letting the remaining 68% run with a protective level—if it keeps falling, let it run; even if it rebounds, I won’t let it turn profits into pain. This isn’t the time to charge in. Don’t chase what you missed; wait for a more comfortable entry in the next round. Being out of the market isn’t a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake. The market never lacks opportunities—it lacks patience. $ETH $XRP.