Pesquisa: O Banco Central da Coreia do Sul pretende manter a taxa de juros inalterada em 28 de maio, com expectativa de aumento a partir do terceiro trimestre

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Goldman Sachs reports that on May 26th, Reuters' survey of economists shows that the Bank of Korea is expected to keep its key policy rate unchanged at Thursday's rate review meeting; most economists currently expect that due to the escalation of the Iran war increasing inflationary pressures, the Bank of Korea will raise interest rates once or multiple times before the end of December. A survey conducted by Reuters from May 19th to 25th among 32 economists shows that, except for two who predict a rate hike, all other respondents expect the Bank of Korea to keep the benchmark interest rate at 2.50% on May 28th. Over 70% (21 out of 29 respondents) forecast at least one rate increase by the end of September, a stark contrast to last month's survey, where only three out of 30 economists expected a 0.25 percentage point hike. This shift is due to inflation surpassing the central bank's 2.0% target, with April inflation reaching 2.6%, the highest in nearly two years, and Middle Eastern tensions also causing oil prices to remain above $100 per barrel for nearly three months.
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