According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket has launched a new prediction market asking whether the United States and Iran can reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump's visit to China.
The current probability of reaching this agreement is 7%. If both countries sign or formally confirm a qualifying peace agreement before Trump travels to China, this market will be settled as "yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "no". If neither of these outcomes occurs by 11:59 PM on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time), the market will also be settled as "no".
According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket has launched a new prediction market asking whether the United States and Iran can reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump's visit to China.
The current probability of reaching this agreement is 7%.
If both countries sign or formally confirm a qualifying peace agreement before Trump travels to China, this market will be settled as "yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "no".
If neither of these outcomes occurs by 11:59 PM on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time), the market will also be settled as "no".