Polymarket kemungkinan 56% ini akan kembali ke nol, resmi Iran langsung membantah tidak adanya kesepakatan jam 14.

Iran Radio and Television stated that reports by some foreign media about the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on 14 points are purely fabricated, and the so-called final draft involving opening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear negotiations, and unfreezing Iran's frozen assets are all untrue. PolyBeats monitoring shows that the probability of "US-Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement" on Polymarket fluctuated on different dates, with a 26% chance before May 31 and a 56% chance before June 30.