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【Old Wu Time】BTC stabilizes at $80,000, is this just the last squat before "moon landing"?
Dear crypto friends, I am Old Wu.
It is now May 13, 2026. Looking at the flickering number on the chart—$81,045, I know many are conflicted: should I take profits and exit, or add more positions?
In the past half month, BTC has surged from $77,000 at the beginning of May back to the $80,000 threshold, despite several "false drops," and even testing $79,000 once. But did everyone notice? The bottom support is rising very decisively.
Today, Old Wu combines the latest market sentiment and data to thoroughly analyze why I believe the "explosive rise" has already been ignited.
1. Signal confirmation: Bull market enters "acceleration phase"
Just yesterday, CryptoQuant released a major signal: Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator has turned to "early bull market" for the first time since 2023. Although some analysts are still cautious, the strong recovery of the 30-day moving average cannot be fooled. This is not just a rebound; it’s a qualitative change in market momentum.
2. Exhausted selling pressure, institutions are "holding"
According to the latest holdings report (as of May 10), although retail investors are fearful, established institutions like Sentinum and ACG still firmly hold nearly 700 BTC, and are actively mining and increasing their market holdings.
More importantly, 2026 is no longer a "year of correction." With spot ETF assets surpassing $120 billion, institutional allocations have become normalized. The current logic is simple: the buying speed of institutions has completely outpaced the new supply after halving.
3. Washington's "nuclear-level" positive news
The most concerned "Clarity Act" hearing is tomorrow (May 14)! The current sentiment is very optimistic.
Policy-driven: The call for a "National Bitcoin Reserve" in the US is growing stronger, and Standard Chartered has even reaffirmed a target of $200,000.
Personnel changes: Powell’s term as chair is about to end, and his successor is likely to be more friendly to the crypto industry.
4. "AI + crypto" ecosystem explosion
Recently, Sun Yuchen, Fu Sheng, and even the WLFI of the Trump family have been rushing into the AI relay track, which is no coincidence. When cryptocurrencies become the payment base for AI calls, BTC’s "value anchoring" property will evolve from a simple store of value to a settlement currency for global digital productivity.
Old Wu’s summary (usual disclaimer, not investment advice):
Currently, BTC is like a fully drawn bow. The $80,000 level is both a psychological barrier and a new launch pad.
Short-term view: tomorrow’s (May 14) bill hearing is critical; volatility will increase, beware of sudden moves.
Long-term view: as long as the $80,000 threshold holds firm, with no obvious resistance above, reaching $100,000 is just a matter of time.
"Be greedy when others are fearful, and be cautious when others are greedy." Are you still on the train? #美国4月CPI上涨3.8% #btc $BTC