Why hasn't the market reacted when the probability of a rate hike is so high?

The interesting part here is that almost nothing has actually happened yet $FLYBRAIN
No major listings, no huge accounts interacting with it, no obvious catalyst priced in.
The setup feels similar to some of the 2024 AI runners where narrative + attention eventually took them into the billions.
If the right person picks this up, things could move very quickly.
Worth having exposure imo.

【$ETH Signal】Long · 1H volume-backed breakout / 4H MACD bullish crossover
$ETH The 1H MACD red bars are expanding, the 4H histogram has turned positive, and the price has moved above the 1H Bollinger upper band at 2496.89, with the 4H upper band at 2513.20 within reach. The 1H volume rose to 1.04 million at 12:00, then shrank to 49,000 at 13:00, indicating that price-chasing activity has paused. The order book depth ratio is 0.14, with denser sell walls; RSI is 62.65 on 1H and 57.25 on 4H—hot but not extreme. The risk-reward ratio is acceptable here, with a clear stop-loss boundary, making buy

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💬 This Week’s Hot Topic
U.S. August CPI rose 0.4% MoM, the highest since June, while annual inflation held steady at 3.4%, both in line with expectations. How will this shape Fed policy expectations and market opportunities?
💡 Discussion Ideas
1️⃣ Will the CPI data change expectations for the Fed’s rate-cut path?
2️⃣ How could crypto and stocks react in the short term?
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#晒出我的持仓收益 SanDisk's giant dragon breathed out a wave.

$SOL
Unfortunately I was stopped out on my sol long from yesterday.
Break the ascending triangle and we head for $120 #Sol

Insiders are calling ZEC a trap after this move.

$ZEC /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1152.33 – 1166.31
SL: 1092.19
TP1: 1209.67
TP2: 1243.23
TP3: 1293.58

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish and the 1h price sits at 1159.32, placing us inside the entry zone between 1152.33 and 1166.31. The 15m RSI reading of 70.58 shows momentum is stretched but not exhausted, while the 1h ATR of 27.970067 confirms volatility is expanding enough to reach the first target at 1209.67 and the second target at 1243.23. The invalidation level at 1073.12 is the hard line that protects this long

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【$LSK Signal】1H momentum narrowing + negative funding rate, buy on pullback
$LSK 1H MACD red histogram at 0.0002 and 4H MACD red histogram at 0.0020 are narrowing in sync; the Bollinger upper band at 0.1319 is capping the rebound, with sell orders queued at -10.30% order book depth.
4H volume dropped from 262M to 46M, while the latest 1H volume is 11M, showing cooling chasing capital. RSI: 4H 68.40, 1H 57.86; price is above the 1H EMA20 at 0.1259. Funding rate is -0.1485%, with shorts paying, and OI is stable.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/limit order: 0.1287027 - 0.1290900
🛑Stop-loss: 0.1277991
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$SNDK /USDT is range-bound on the daily but the 4h setup screams otherwise.

$SNDK /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1655.69 – 1665.43
SL: 1599.77
TP1: 1706.15
TP2: 1736.54
TP3: 1782.13

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, which usually traps momentum traders, yet the 4h bias is LONG with 77.4 confidence. The 1h ATR of 19.482607 tells us volatility is expanding enough to fuel a move. The 15m RSI at 60.07 shows room to run before overbought. Entry sits at 1660.56, with TP1 at 1706.15 and TP2 at 1736.54, while the invalidation level at 1688.46 acts as the line in the sand.

Deb

#Bots Futures Grid bot 50× Long. 4 days with 100usd
many small grids :)

#OracleQ1EarningsBeatStockUpOver5% Oracle Q1 Earnings Beat — Stock Jumps Over 5%
Oracle delivered a strong fiscal Q1 performance, beating Wall Street expectations and giving investors fresh confidence in its AI and cloud strategy.
Oracle reported $19.34B in revenue, up 30% YoY, versus expectations of $19.14B. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.92, beating the $1.74 estimate.
The biggest highlight was cloud infrastructure, which surged 121% YoY. Oracle also secured more than $30B in new AI cloud contracts, pushing its remaining performance obligations to a massive $664B.
Oracle also raised its FY202

Just the top 9 @LaunchOnSF coins paid out over $10M
That's an average of ~$125 per holder

#ZECPlungesOver13%
Zcash has come under heavy selling pressure, with ZEC plunging more than 13% in a sharp move that has quickly changed the short-term market picture.
A move of this size is significant because ZEC had recently attracted strong attention from traders following its earlier price momentum. When an asset rises rapidly and then experiences a double-digit decline, the market naturally begins questioning whether the previous rally was overheated or whether this is simply a temporary correction.
The first thing to watch now is support.
After a sharp breakdown, traders usually look f

$SPY
Same as $BTC , boring channel.

【$ETH Signal】Long + 1H volume breakout/order book support
$ETH 1H volume-backed bullish candle, price 2513.17 hugging the 4H Bollinger upper band at 2515.68. Order book depth imbalance 82.82%, Bid/Ask 10.64, with dense bids below. 1H MACD bullish histogram expanding, 4H MACD bullish crossover. 1H RSI 67.32, 4H RSI 59.42. OI stable, funding rate 0.0090%. Place long orders at 2505.6305 - 2513.1700, stop loss below at 2488.0383, first target 2550.8675, then 2569.7163. The current price is near the upper edge of the entry zone, with a decent risk-reward ratio; exercise restraint with positions cha

Thanks CPI, thanks market,
Our gold long at 4297 has brought us another big profit🥩
Secured 60 points in 5 minutes🥩
#美国8月核心CPI超预期

It’s just the beginning.
US PPI rose 5.4% year-over-year in August, above the 5.3% estimate.
US 30-year bond yield rises to 5.35%, highest level since June 2007.
$BTC and $ETH are no exception in the market as risk assets will dump hard and fast first when the carry trade unwind will take place. The FOMC and BOJ meeting this month are very crucial. Any bad news and we tank 🩸