I. Current Multi-Cycle Core Conclusions (Ultra-Simplified Version)



• Large Cycle (Daily, Weekly): Bearish/Oscillating Downtrend Structure

• Mid Cycle (4H–12H): Bear-Dominated, Rallies are Resistance

• Short Cycle (1m–1H): Oversold Rally Recovery Needed, but Difficult to Reverse Mid-Term Trend

Main Direction: High Short Bias, Low Long Only for Short-Term Rallies.

II. Key Price Levels (Direct Use)

• Strong Support: 2070–2080

• First Resistance: 2098–2110

• Second Resistance: 2130–2145

• Stop Loss Standard: 5–10 Points Beyond Key Level

III. Directly Executable Entry Plan

1) Short Positions (Priority, Trend-Following)

Entry:

• Scale into Shorts at 2100–2110 Rally Zone

• If Quick Spike to 2130–2140, Can Add Shorts

Stop Loss:

• 2100–2110 Short: Stop Loss 2150

• 2130–2140 Short: Stop Loss 2165

Targets:

• First Target: 2080 (Reduce Half Position)

• Second Target: 2055–2040 (Close Out)

2) Long Positions (Short-Term Rally, Light Position)

Only Take at Support Bounce Without Breaking

Entry:

• Pullback to 2075–2082 Stabilizes, Go Long

Stop Loss:

• Below 2070 (2065–2070)

Targets:

• First Target: 2095–2100

• Second Target: Around 2120 (Switch to Short Priority Here)

IV. Position Sizing & Risk Management (Follow Directly)

• Total Position: Not Exceeding 10% Per Trade

• Structure:

◦ Shorts: 60–70% Position Size

◦ Longs: 30–40% Position Size (Short-Term)

• Rules:

◦ At First Target, Reduce 50%, Move to Breakeven Stop

◦ No Holding Losers, No Counter-Trend Add-Ons

V. Intraday Execution Mantra

• Break Above 2110 Don't Chase Shorts, Wait for Higher to Short

• Break Below 2070 Don't Bottom Fish, Follow Trend, Hunt Lower

• 2080–2110 Between Oscillation: Light Position High Sell Low Buy, Quick Entry Quick Exit
原文表示
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