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JunZhao
2026-03-14 01:11:38
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I. Current Multi-Cycle Core Conclusions (Ultra-Simplified Version)
• Large Cycle (Daily, Weekly): Bearish/Oscillating Downtrend Structure
• Mid Cycle (4H–12H): Bear-Dominated, Rallies are Resistance
• Short Cycle (1m–1H): Oversold Rally Recovery Needed, but Difficult to Reverse Mid-Term Trend
Main Direction: High Short Bias, Low Long Only for Short-Term Rallies.
II. Key Price Levels (Direct Use)
• Strong Support: 2070–2080
• First Resistance: 2098–2110
• Second Resistance: 2130–2145
• Stop Loss Standard: 5–10 Points Beyond Key Level
III. Directly Executable Entry Plan
1) Short Positions (Priority, Trend-Following)
Entry:
• Scale into Shorts at 2100–2110 Rally Zone
• If Quick Spike to 2130–2140, Can Add Shorts
Stop Loss:
• 2100–2110 Short: Stop Loss 2150
• 2130–2140 Short: Stop Loss 2165
Targets:
• First Target: 2080 (Reduce Half Position)
• Second Target: 2055–2040 (Close Out)
2) Long Positions (Short-Term Rally, Light Position)
Only Take at Support Bounce Without Breaking
Entry:
• Pullback to 2075–2082 Stabilizes, Go Long
Stop Loss:
• Below 2070 (2065–2070)
Targets:
• First Target: 2095–2100
• Second Target: Around 2120 (Switch to Short Priority Here)
IV. Position Sizing & Risk Management (Follow Directly)
• Total Position: Not Exceeding 10% Per Trade
• Structure:
◦ Shorts: 60–70% Position Size
◦ Longs: 30–40% Position Size (Short-Term)
• Rules:
◦ At First Target, Reduce 50%, Move to Breakeven Stop
◦ No Holding Losers, No Counter-Trend Add-Ons
V. Intraday Execution Mantra
• Break Above 2110 Don't Chase Shorts, Wait for Higher to Short
• Break Below 2070 Don't Bottom Fish, Follow Trend, Hunt Lower
• 2080–2110 Between Oscillation: Light Position High Sell Low Buy, Quick Entry Quick Exit
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I. Current Multi-Cycle Core Conclusions (Ultra-Simplified Version)
• Large Cycle (Daily, Weekly): Bearish/Oscillating Downtrend Structure
• Mid Cycle (4H–12H): Bear-Dominated, Rallies are Resistance
• Short Cycle (1m–1H): Oversold Rally Recovery Needed, but Difficult to Reverse Mid-Term Trend
Main Direction: High Short Bias, Low Long Only for Short-Term Rallies.
II. Key Price Levels (Direct Use)
• Strong Support: 2070–2080
• First Resistance: 2098–2110
• Second Resistance: 2130–2145
• Stop Loss Standard: 5–10 Points Beyond Key Level
III. Directly Executable Entry Plan
1) Short Positions (Priority, Trend-Following)
Entry:
• Scale into Shorts at 2100–2110 Rally Zone
• If Quick Spike to 2130–2140, Can Add Shorts
Stop Loss:
• 2100–2110 Short: Stop Loss 2150
• 2130–2140 Short: Stop Loss 2165
Targets:
• First Target: 2080 (Reduce Half Position)
• Second Target: 2055–2040 (Close Out)
2) Long Positions (Short-Term Rally, Light Position)
Only Take at Support Bounce Without Breaking
Entry:
• Pullback to 2075–2082 Stabilizes, Go Long
Stop Loss:
• Below 2070 (2065–2070)
Targets:
• First Target: 2095–2100
• Second Target: Around 2120 (Switch to Short Priority Here)
IV. Position Sizing & Risk Management (Follow Directly)
• Total Position: Not Exceeding 10% Per Trade
• Structure:
◦ Shorts: 60–70% Position Size
◦ Longs: 30–40% Position Size (Short-Term)
• Rules:
◦ At First Target, Reduce 50%, Move to Breakeven Stop
◦ No Holding Losers, No Counter-Trend Add-Ons
V. Intraday Execution Mantra
• Break Above 2110 Don't Chase Shorts, Wait for Higher to Short
• Break Below 2070 Don't Bottom Fish, Follow Trend, Hunt Lower
• 2080–2110 Between Oscillation: Light Position High Sell Low Buy, Quick Entry Quick Exit