Trump just said Iran approached him wanting to talk, and Iran immediately fired back, claiming they still have cards up their sleeves, even threatening to spread the flames of war from the Strait of Hormuz to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Simply put, it's like one side pretending to shake hands while secretly adding chips to the table—neither side intends to back down.



Looking at today's market, Bitcoin only dipped slightly, and US stocks were mixed, without any panic selling that would make everyone run for cover. For now, this situation won't escalate much.

But we need to stay alert. Don't just focus on whether any missiles fly today—the real danger is the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Think about it: if both Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, the two global oil "arteries," get blocked simultaneously, the trouble won't stay in the Middle East. Oil prices will rise, freight costs will increase, insurance premiums will follow, and the prices we've struggled to bring down could spike again.

In fact, the market isn't most afraid of war itself—it's afraid of war disrupting the global money flow. As long as oil prices keep climbing, the Fed won't dare cut interest rates easily. With interest rates staying high, money in the market tightens. Whether you're buying gold, speculating on Bitcoin, or investing in US AI and semiconductors, ultimately it all comes down to the dollar and liquidity in the market.$BTC $ETH
BTC1.63%
ETH0.44%
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