$XRP XRP/USDT – Upside Structure, Bulls Break Toward 1.49 ⚫ XRPUSDT is attempting to build a recovery structure on the H4 chart while holding above the broader support area. Price remains below the descending trendline and Ichimoku resistance, but recent price action is beginning to form a stronger base near the lows. Instead of chasing the current bounce, I’m watching the 1.3406–1.2706 support zone. Another clear buyer reaction from this area would keep the recovery setup intact and give XRP another opportunity to challenge the descending trendline. If buyers secure an H4 breakout and hold above that structure, the next main upside objective is: Target: 1.491 A sustained H4 move below 1.2706 would invalidate the recovery setup and suggest that sellers are regaining control. AURICVERSE View: XRP is still beneath its main bearish trendline, so the breakout remains the key confirmation. I prefer a defended reaction inside 1.3406–1.2706, followed by a clean break above the trendline, with 1.4910 remaining the main upside objective.

$XRP What a bummer

Many people see RSI fall below 30 and rush to buy the dip, equating “oversold” directly with “reversal.” This is one of the most common technical-analysis misconceptions. Oversold only indicates that selling momentum has been substantially exhausted; it does not mean the trend has already reversed. Before the moving-average structure recovers, rebounds are often just corrective bounces. Take $LUMIA as an example: the current price is 0.0686, down 22.40% over 24h. MA5=0.06936 remains below MA20=0.07877, with the moving averages in a bearish alignment and the medium-term structure weak; the MACD histogram at -0.0009817 remains bearish, but its shrinking size means downward momentum is fading; RSI=28.9 has entered oversold territory, creating conditions for a technical rebound. The Bollinger lower band at 0.0604 is the first line of defense in this move, while the upper band at 0.0972 is far above the current price; meaningful resistance is near the middle band. The funding rate of -0.0299% indicates crowded shorts, and with the Fear and Greed Index at 68, signaling greed, chasing shorts offers poor risk-reward. Directionally, I lean bullish on a short-term rebound but would avoid chasing prices in the medium term. Entry reference: 0.0650–0.0686. This range is near the support zone above the Bollinger lower band at 0.0604, and the oversold RSI provides conditions for a rebound. Take-profit 1: 0.0788, near resistance at MA20 and the Bollinger middle band; take-profit 2: 0.0860, the upper edge of a previous high-volume trading zone. Set the stop-loss at 0.0600; a break below the Bollinger lower band would mean the oversold signal has failed and the bearish structure is continuing. Also watch: $PEPE and $XRP , whose RSIs are 33.9 and 21.9, respectively, both in weak territory. XRP is more deeply oversold, but its funding rate has turned positive, making it slightly more resilient than LUMIA. (Personal opinion for reference only; not investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk. Please strictly control position sizes.) [Data] Token: LUMIAUSDT Direction: Long Entry: 0.0650-0.0686 Take-profit 1: 0.0788 Take-profit 2: 0.0860 Stop-loss: 0.0600