#FedSeptember September Fed Decision: Why Waller Just Changed the Market Debate
The September Federal Reserve decision has moved from a relatively clear rate-hike story into a much more balanced battle between “hold” and “25-basis-point hike.” As of September 4, Gate’s Event Market is pricing approximately 60% for rates to remain unchanged and 41% for a 25 bps increase, with around 1% assigned to a 25 bps cut and another 1% to a hike of 50 bps or more. At the same time, CME FedWatch is showing a much tighter split: roughly 49.6% for no change versus 50.2% for a 25 bps hike. The difference is c

Politics

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

52%1.92x

No change

49%2.04x

$10.34M 24H+3 more

BTC+0.65%

ETH+0.92%

Mining_sLittleSheepan hour ago

ARB at $0.13—are you buying the dip?
Look at the surface first: a barrage of positive news, but the price surged and then retreated.
Over the past week, it violently rallied from $0.07-$0.09 to $0.146, gaining over 70%. Intraday, it pulled back to $0.13 after being hit by macro data. Robinhood Chain launched its mainnet, with daily fees surging to several million dollars. Under the protocol's 10% net revenue share, this directly brings real money to the Arbitrum ecosystem.
First: Is Robinhood Chain an “ATM” for ARB?
Robinhood Chain is based on Arbitrum Orbit technology, with daily on-chain fee

BTC+0.65%

ETH+0.92%

ARB+2.07%

KatyPaty4 hours ago

U.S. Jobs Report Drops Today! Markets Expect Just 56K New Jobs in August!

LIVE2,798

TheThugInASuit an hour ago

Today's move—tell me that's not bullish as hell! $ETH

ETH+1.03%

Falcon_Official32 minutes ago

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GateLive2026-09-04 10:55:54

MoonBoi42 an hour ago

Greatest strength in leisure & hospitality

Hongshen 21 minutes ago

The trade hit stop loss, and honestly, it hurts a bit. I had 600 points in unrealized profit before the data release but didn’t close, and then a single wick drove it down to the stop-loss level. I’ll hold off for now and observe—respect the market! #Gate用户突破6000万 #非农就业报告即将揭晓

LaoGaoUltimate 2 hours agoBullish

ETH likewise did not disappoint, and this morning we flagged a low-entry long setup.
The market pulled back to a low of 2488, reaching near the expected entry level, then rebounded directly to 2547, delivering a solid 59-point move as expected. The bullish rhythm was perfectly captured. #Gate用户突破6000万 $ETH

ETH+1.03%

JiangYiGuanJin 2 hours ago

Seeking like-minded partners to take on the nonfarm payrolls battle together
Strictly manage risk and move forward steadily, seizing opportunities in the data window together #非农就业报告即将揭晓 #黄金 $XAUT

XAUT-0.77%

Polaris_xbt 2 hours ago

There is a solid chance altcoins bottomed in february.
The february marked 450 days from their cycle high which is in line with prior bear market bottoms.
Remember... this cycle $ETH and Alts >> $BTC

ETH+0.92%

BTC+0.65%

YufengA 43 minutes ago

Nonfarm data came in exceptionally strong, rate hike expectations rose, and Ethereum followed the broader market under pressure, retreating with greater volatility.
Short-term market conditions have weakened, and with the Federal Reserve meeting approaching, market uncertainty is increasing.

In the short term, focus mainly on shorting rebounds;
Wait for the market to rebound to around 2460-2490 and face resistance before shorting, with targets of 2400-2350$ETH .

ETH+1.03%

GasFeeCrier an hour ago

U.S. August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations, making it harder for the Fed to ease. Sigh, it’s too difficult to make money in the second half of the year—I just want to go long U.S. stocks...

Employment increased by 162k, while the market expected only 55k, compared with a previous decrease of 23k; the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% year-on-year.

This report sends three signals:

First, the U.S. labor market is not in recession, and corporate hiring is accelerating again.

Second, the unemployment rate has not risen

GLDX-0.76%

PAXG-0.94%

SPX+11.35%

NAS100+0.89%

Jensan hour ago

Bitcoin is back above $80,000, but the real test begins now.
At the time of writing, $BTC is trading near $81,000 after testing the $82,000 area. That puts price directly below an important resistance zone.
Key levels I am watching:
• Immediate support: $80,000
• Stronger support: $77,000-$78,000
• Main resistance: $82,000-$82,500
• Next target after confirmation: $85,000
My strategy is simple: I am not chasing this move.
If Bitcoin retests $80,000 and buyers defend it, I will look for continuation. A strong close above $82,500, followed by a successful retest, would make the breakout more con

BTC+0.65%

CryptoForestKai an hour ago

This move is so clear I don’t even need to think—the account is dancing on its own. When the screen is all green, while everyone else is looking for where to buy the dip, I only watch one thing: whether the key level has been broken. If it hasn’t, it’s just forming a base, so hold on and don’t scare yourself.

A few days ago, when it dipped, $OKB landed right on the 89.13 I had marked. I said right then: if the retest holds, go for it. Today it surged straight to 107.71, with +508.52% secured. That profit feels great—getting the rhythm right is better than anything.

Pocket 75% first, and s

OKB+0.07%

ADA+2.72%

SNDK+6.68%

WittyJenny an hour ago

U.S. seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000 in August, the highest since March and far above the market expectation of 56,000.
After the news broke, the market increased its bets on a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Spot gold briefly fell below $4,400 per ounce, down 1.66% on the day, while bitcoin:native immediately plunged nearly $2,000.
So exciting. Every time you get close to breaking even, the rebound suddenly comes to a halt.

GLDX-0.76%

PAXG-0.94%

BTC+0.65%

Xmendus 15 minutes ago

looking good $nzdcad

NZDCAD+0.47%

十一2 hours ago

【$ZEC Long Signal】1H retraces to EMA20, 4H Bollinger upper-band bullish continuation
$ZEC 4H MACD histogram at 15.96 continues expanding, with RSI 76 hugging the Bollinger upper band. 1H surged to 1029 before retracing to 996, holding above EMA20 at 950. Order book depth imbalance: -53.9%, with sell orders relatively thick. OI stable.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 993.9592 - 996.9500
🛑Stop Loss: 947.1025
🚀Target 1: 1071.7213
🚀Target 2: 1109.1069
🛡️Trade Management: Reduce the position by 50% upon reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss to breakeven. If the price falls back to the

ZEC+16.06%

BTC+0.65%

ETH+0.92%

SOL+0.16%

Zaqrider an hour ago

Working from home has turned me from a dad into a full-time nanny.
I attend meetings, make coffee, change diapers, play with the baby…
At this point, I’m not even sure what my actual job is. 😭

GateUser-3e28e2ea 43 minutes ago

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