Lonely Brain: The Illusion of Certainty Tower
Taleb told a pretty interesting story:
There are two people, a is very regular, always returning home exactly at 5 p.m.; b is a bit less reliable, sometimes coming home a little earlier, sometimes a little later.
One day, a was delayed a bit, ten minutes late, and the family was extremely anxious.
What about b? If one day he also comes home twenty minutes late for some reason, the family wouldn't be too worried.
Taleb believes: Things that dislike fluctuations are fragile.
Highly pursuing "zero deviation" certainty may seem reliable, bu