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The market is walking right back into the August 2024 trap.
Think about it:
- USD/JPY is back screaming at 161.
- Tokyo’s massive ~$73B intervention has completely evaporated.
- The multi-trillion dollar Yen carry trade is completely re-leveraged.
And today, Asian markets are flashing deep red.
In 2024, a sudden Yen spike forced a violent global unwind and a -12% Nikkei crash. The dry tinder is piled up exactly the same way right now.
If USD/JPY drops fast, the forced liquidation engine kicks in.
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. Watch the charts closely.