CPI data incoming, go long at 4390 and exit at 4430—40 points ready. $BTC $GT $ETH

You chasing $ETH back to $1,905 after CPI pulled it from the abyss? First, look at the surface: data is bullish, and a violent rebound In the past 24 hours, ETH rebounded from 1,850 to 1,910—up 3%. It surged back above 1,900 with high volume and reclaimed the 20-day and 100-day moving averages. The intraday high nearly hit 1,918. On-chain active addresses jumped to a level not seen since March. Meanwhile, exchange outflows increased, and large holders are quietly accumulating at lower levels. From the June low of 1,520, ETH has formed a sequence of higher lows—short-term momentum has turned positive. The rebound isn’t over yet, but 1,925 is the Grim Reaper line. First thing: CPI saved the day, but the Fed’s blade hasn’t been put away yet July’s CPI year-over-year came in at 3.4%, in line with expectations. Core CPI was 2.5% month-over-month and relatively tame. The market went wild—ETH jumped 3% in an instant from 1,850. But core inflation is still sticky. The probability of a September FOMC rate hike remains 44%. Rate cuts? Not so fast. A CPI that matches expectations doesn’t mean the bull market is back—it only means the bears are temporarily resting. Second thing: whales are buying, but retail is trashing ETH Multiple addresses are withdrawing large amounts—large buys on the order of 50,000 ETH. Exchange outflows keep rising. Fidelity is pushing forward ETF staking plus distributions, and BitMine holdings have already exceeded 5.8 million ETH. Institutions are quietly accumulating in the 1,850–1,900 zone, while retail is calling ETH a “piece of junk” and whining that “ETH has dropped 55% this year.” Third thing: two technical signals appeared—one heaven, one hell Let’s start with heaven: from 1,520 to 1,910, ETH formed a clear higher-low structure. It successfully reclaimed the 20-day and 100-day moving averages (around 1,890–1,894). Funds are buying modestly, volume has expanded—this is the foundation for the rebound to continue. Now hell: 1,925 is the 4-hour Supertrend resistance zone. 1,950 is a liquidation-heavy area, 2,000 is the psychological level, and 2,035 is the 200-day moving average. Four “lockdown lines” stacked together—like a wall. Key levels Resistance above: 1,925 → 1,950 → 2,000 → 2,035 Support below: 1,890 → 1,850 → 1,815–1,800 Trading plan For short-term traders: Pullbacks to 1,890–1,900: go long with a light position. Stop loss below 1,875. Targets: 1,925 → 1,950. If there’s a breakout with volume above 1,925 and it holds, add more and look toward 2,000. If 1,925 can’t be broken, the bulls are just paper tigers. For swing traders: Build positions in batches in the 1,850–1,900 range. Stop loss below 1,800. Targets: after a break above 2,000, look for 2,100–2,200. If there’s an effective breakdown below 1,850, cut exposure and wait for lower support (1,750–1,700) before adding again. For long-term believers: DCA from 1,800–1,900. Staking rate 30%+ , ETF staking rolling out, and the GlAmsterdam upgrade expected in Q3—all point to fundamentally healthy conditions. Price is just in repair. But for a trend reversal, you’ll still need to wait for 2,000 to hold.

CPI data met market expectations, U.S. stocks opened higher as expected, and the storage sector saw broad-based gains. However, the most notable recent change in market action is the continued weakening correlation between crypto and U.S. stocks. Judging the direction of crypto prices solely by U.S. stock movements makes it easy to get the timing wrong. Tonight’s higher open is being driven more by short-term sentiment, so be alert to the risk of a pullback after the surge. Aggressively chasing trades is not recommended going forward; continue positioning based on a range-bound approach. Many people repeatedly lose money by trading back and forth in choppy markets. At its core, this is because they cannot identify precise entry points. Only by clarifying the market rhythm can unnecessary losses be avoided.$BTC $ETH #GateLaunchpool瓜分141万枚DOS #大空头加码做空AI芯片 #Gate全额补偿异常波动爆仓用户