September 16 BTC and ETH intraday strategy: Stay calm and analyze carefully before entering after the sharp drop! The Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point rate hike at this meeting is a foregone conclusion, and the core focus has shifted from "whether to raise rates" to whether it will continue maintaining a hawkish stance. Expectations of high interest rates will continue to suppress risk assets in the short term, making BTC and ETH's rebound potential susceptible to limitations. Technically, BTC is currently around 75860. The 15-minute rebound has moved back toward the 76000 level, but trading volume has not expanded significantly. Although MACD is still recovering below the zero line, rebound momentum is limited. Resistance above 76000 is relatively clear; ETH is around 2402, with the price basically tracking MA7. The 2410-2420 area above faces resistance. Although the MACD red bars have recovered somewhat, overall momentum remains weak. BTC: Short around 76500 Targets: 75000-73500 ETH: Short around 2415 Targets: 2380-2360 Overall, the strategy is to take advantage of the suppression of risk appetite brought by rate-hike expectations, wait for a rebound to resistance before shorting, and enter again if the price rises but fails to break through. If it breaks through, cut losses promptly—do not blindly chase trades. Follow XY Learn to Get Rich so you won't lose your way in the crypto world! $BTC $ETH I'll wait until I return from my business trip to livestream, guys!

On the Eve of the Fed Decision: Gold, ETH, and BTC Are All at Key Levels! Bearish Long-Term Bias, Staying on the Sidelines, Keeping a Close Eye on the Dot Plot 📊 Core news-driven logic: Focus on the interplay between the “dot plot” and “communication” The rate hike itself has already been fully priced in by the market, so its impact on the market will be limited. The true core variables are the dot plot and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the press conference. Current inflation remains well above the 2% target, with core PCE above 3% for several consecutive months, making the “hold” option nearly impossible. Two major scenarios require attention: 1. Hawkish scenario: If the dot plot median shows that more rate hikes are still coming this year, the US dollar will strengthen and risk assets will come under pressure. 2. Dovish scenario: If it is interpreted as a “one-off insurance hike” and the wording is soft, the market may see a temporary rebound driven by “the bad news having been fully priced in.” Gold is around 4331, with the intraday rebound being an oversold recovery. Upside resistance zone: 4400 — 4446 Downside support zone: 4275 — 4253 Short-term range: Expected to move weakly within 4275 — 4400 while awaiting guidance from the Fed decision. ETH is around 2401.45, having fallen below the 2500 round-number threshold. Upside resistance zone: 2487 — 2530 Downside support zone: 2357 — 2320 Short-term range: Expected to consolidate weakly within 2357 — 2487. BTC is around 75806.9, narrowly holding the 75000 threshold. Upside resistance zone: 77323 — 78500 Downside support zone: 75000 — 74909 Short-term range: Expected to fluctuate within 74909 — 77323, with 75000 being the bulls’ last line of defense. 🧭 Long-term strategy: Bearish bias, staying on the sidelines, keeping a close eye on the meeting signals From a macro perspective, the Fed’s hawkish “higher for longer” stance has not yet shifted, core inflation is still rising, energy prices remain elevated, and the policy path remains tight. The macro environment does not support risk assets entering a major upward trend. From a technical perspective, all three assets are in a weak consolidation phase within a downtrend. The upside resistance is far greater than the rebound momentum provided by the downside support, with the overall pattern showing “weak rebounds and a declining center of gravity.” No clear reversal signal has emerged yet. Before the Fed truly shifts toward easing, the timing for long-term bullish positions is not yet mature. $BTC ‌$ETH ‌$XAU ‌#美联储即将公布利率决定 #BTC下跌3.3%

bitcoin fire sale? 👀🔥 The 50W MA is the level everyone should be watching. Below it → potential value zone. Above it → the market starts pricing in euphoria again. Simple framework, but the interesting part is how price reacts around that level. Definitely one to keep on the radar. 📈$BTC $ETH ‌ ‌#GateSquareMidAutumnReunion