【Goldman Sachs Investment Chief: 50% Chance of Federal Reserve Rate Hike in July, Wealth Effect from Rising Stock Prices May Become a Reason for Rate Hike】Goldman Sachs reports, June 24, that Lindsay Rosner, Head of Multi-Industry Investment at Goldman Sachs Asset & Wealth Management, recently warned that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in July is "quite high," with a probability of 50%. In a recent interview, she pointed out that upcoming inflation data, especially the Personal Consumption Expenditures report, is a key factor that could prompt the Fed to take action. Rosner further noted that the wealth effect from rising stock prices may be reflected in inflation data, potentially becoming a reason for a rate hike. She indicated that items related to artificial intelligence spending in the personal consumption expenditure basket, such as software and accessories, are expected to rise in the next report, "and the Fed will have to respond to this." Based on this, Goldman Sachs has adjusted its internal outlook, delaying the expected rate cut to the end of 2027.

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