When will the bottom form before the halving?❓
Historical cycle bottoms typically occur about 17 months (16.9–17.8 months) before the next halving:
January 2015 low → about 542 days before the 2016 halving
December 2018 low → about 513 days before the 2020 halving
November 2022 low → about 516 days before the 2024 halving
The timing of all three bottoms is highly concentrated, with only about 29 days between them
When will the top form after the halving?❓
Mature cycles (since 2016) have shown highly consistent tops, occurring 525–546 days (about 17–18 months) after the halving:
2016 halving →

🔓 $FIL just lost its biggest source of new supply… and almost nobody noticed 👇

Filecoin's six-year genesis vesting officially ended on October 14.

In the three months before that, vesting released 17.1M FIL.

Block rewards released only 5.4M FIL in the same period.

That means vesting was more than 75% of all new FIL hitting the market.

Now that stream is gone for good.

Less supply pressure, same network.

Is this the quiet setup $FIL holders have been waiting for?

$TRUMP respected these levels and gave us the reaction we wanted. Nothing to complain about with this trade. Nice profit. My list today includes
$DODOX and $XRP .

Flames and lightning all the way, short all the way.

The broader market suffered a brutal plunge this morning. $BTC If you’re still holding long positions, there’s really only one thing weighing on your mind right now: can you keep holding this trade? Two forces are driving this sharp drop: first, a chain reaction of leveraged liquidations; second, weekend liquidity is already thin, and when the order book dries up, large sell orders can easily trigger cascading liquidations, amplifying the decline at every step. But don’t assume prices will naturally bounce back just because they’ve fallen. Macroeconomic rate expectations remain tight, institu

🚨 New signal in the NSCrypto82 channel; sis is just relaying:
$CAKE Long entry: 1.57365 Stop loss: 1.5067 Targets: 1.6312 / 1.71 / 1.8124
Speaking of, I just relayed this trader’s $ALGO trade earlier today (11-15), and here they are again—quite active 👀
As usual, sis is a signal courier, not a trader. Whether to follow and how much to put in is up to you all. Feel free to watch the market, but risk management never takes a day off.
Personal notes shared, not investment advice. #YenBreaksBelow160AsJapaneseInflationAndFXInterventionPressuresMount

[Taipei mayoral poll] The KMT is beyond saving; that’s why Chiang Wan-an has been dragged down this far.
Zheng Liwen and Fu Kun-chi have poked holes all over the KMT, and Han Kuo-yu, Hou You-yi, and Lu Shiow-yen are all incapable of stopping the bleeding!
Chiang Wan-an’s fate was probably sealed the moment he shared a stage with Zheng Liwen...

$LIT delivered a result that genuinely satisfied me. No need to pursue perfection. Exited. Investigating $BLESS and $SOPH today.

See, I told you school was useful.

BTC capitulation.
Bounce....
#Bitcoin

Crypto continues to crash
Thank you, Democrats

A Saturday strategy group also helped everyone make a killing

Huh.
It's pretty much entirely Coinbase that's nuking the market.
$BTC

LOL won the championship, guys—we’re showing our support from the front row

$XRP was trading at $0.9111 by 16:32 (21:32 GMT) on Saturday, down 10.13% on the day. It was the largest one-day percentage loss since February 5.
The move downwards pushed XRP’s market cap down to $58.1025B, or 2.69% of the total cryptocurrency market cap. At its highest, XRP’s market cap was $210.6006B.

BLG wins the championship 🏆
Bilibili is giving everyone a Bilibili Premium membership
Claim it between 12:00 on the 15th and 12:00 on the 16th
Log in to Bilibili at noon today and remember to grab the freebie

Britain paid wind farms £393 million in 2024 to switch off.
8.3 TWh of clean power, gone. 98% of it in Scotland.
The turbines work. The cables to England just can't carry it all, so the grid pays Scotland to stop and pays gas plants down south to start.
A new Bitcoin Policy Institute report found a 20 MW mine next to a 100 MW wind farm could use 83% of that farm's curtailed energy.
The report is upfront that this won't wipe out the £1B+ yearly bill.
But a buyer that can switch off in seconds, sitting right behind the bottleneck? Why isn't every grid operator running this math?

$CHIP is holding 0.02629, so I’m bullish; if it breaks 0.025, I’ll cut the loss.
$CHIP is now at 0.02666, 24h -16.084%, 7d -19.41%, 30d -42.39%.

In this defensive market, I’m leaning bullish—Fear & Greed at 10, only 2 of 61 coins are up, with a median of -11.374%; sentiment has been crushed into the bottom zone, and $CHIP has fallen even further.

First, 24h trading volume is 2277407 USDT, with a volume ratio of 0.728; this low-volume grind down isn’t distribution.

Second, OI is 198,714,131, down 20.66% from the 10-29 snapshot; leveraged positions are retreating first.

Third, the average