Polymarket 在全球打击行动日益加强的背景下，面临在印度尼西亚被禁令

在全球打击线上赌博和预测市场的背景下，印度尼西亚加入了对Polymarket及类似平台实施限制的司法管辖区名单，此前一场关于总统任期的赌注引起了线上关注。

Indonesia Blocks Access To Polymarket

Indonesia recently blocked access to the prediction market platform Polymarket after a widely shared bet on the premature end of Prabowo Subianto’s presidency gained traction on social media last week.

In an official statement, the Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs announced the ban, affirming that the measure aims to protect the public, particularly the younger generation and users of the digital space.

Director General of Digital Space Supervision Alexander Sabar affirmed that platforms facilitating real-money wagers on event outcomes are considered gambling, even when framed as “prediction markets” and using blockchain technology or crypto assets.

“The government will not tolerate any form of online gambling in Indonesia. Activities like Polymarket involve monetary betting and speculation on events with uncertain outcomes, which violates applicable Indonesian laws,” Alex emphasized.

Therefore, authorities will block access to other prediction market services suspected of “facilitating online gambling practices.” In addition, the government is tracking down social media accounts affiliated with or promoting Polymarket to ensure the ban is enforced across other platforms.

The Ministry also urged the public not to access or engage in digital betting-based speculation activities, including those using crypto, as these activities could violate Indonesian laws and cause financial losses for users.

全球监管压力不断增加

印度尼西亚当局指出，他们限制访问Polymarket的决定与其他全球法律框架一致。正如公告所述，其他几个司法管辖区也对Polymarket和其他预测市场平台采取了措施，理由是它们类似于线上赌博行为。

在过去两年中，台湾、泰国、中国和印度根据各自的地方法律对Polymarket实施了限制，而新加坡、哥伦比亚和印度已正式封锁该平台。

今年三月，阿根廷当局在Polymarket预测通胀数据后，发起了全国范围的封锁。据Bitcoinist报道，布宜诺斯艾利斯法院指示互联网服务提供商、谷歌和苹果封锁该平台的访问，理由是其作为未获许可的线上赌博平台运营。

与此同时，巴西中央银行在三月宣布禁止预测市场和投注平台，包括Polymarket和Kalshi。当局确认这些平台未能遵守当地关于衍生品交易的法规，并对投资者保护和市场诚信提出担忧。

预测市场在美国也受到审查，政策制定者和州级当局对该行业施加压力。上周，众议院议员James Comer对Polymarket和Kalshi发起了正式调查，原因是与机密美国军事行动和关键地缘政治事件相关的一系列可疑交易。

这位立法者宣布，他已向两家公司的CEO发出信函，寻求有关其平台如何检测和防止内部交易的信息。他还要求提供关于他们如何验证用户身份以及如何执行对限制地区用户的禁令的细节。同一天，这两家预测市场巨头在内华达州和华盛顿的反赌博执法行动中都未能成功阻止相关措施。