Kalshi traders believe: the probability that Bitcoin remains below that level from $100K until the end of 2026 is 80%


According to Kalshi's prediction market, traders are pricing an 80% chance that Bitcoin will stay below $100,000 before the end of 2026.
As of June 22, the probability that this cryptocurrency will cross this level before January 1, 2027, is only assigned at 19%.
Bitcoin is currently trading close to $64,600, about 50% below its historical high of approximately $126,198 in October 2025.
A single Kalshi contract indicates: the probability that Bitcoin will fall below $50,000 before the end of 2026 is 57%.
Market data shows that the majority of the 2026 Bitcoin closing price probabilities are concentrated in the $55,000 to $70,000 range.
#比特币
KALSHI4,22%
BTC0,60%
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