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เพิ่งดูกราฟทองคำเช้านี้ เห็นว่า XAUUSD ยืนเหนือ EMA 200 ที่ $4,711 เป็นครั้งแรกในรอบเดือน ราคาพุ่งขึ้นมา $200 ในเวลาแค่ 4 วัน จากจุดต่ำ $4,521 ที่สัปดาห์ที่แล้ว
วิเคราะห์ดูแล้ว ปัจจัยสำคัญมีสามอย่าง หนึ่งคือความหวังดีลอิหร่านใกล้จะเสร็จสิ้น ทำให้ราคาน้ำมันร่วง ลดความกังวลเงินเฟ้อ สองคือ Bond Yield ลดลงจาก 4.4% เหลือ 4.2% ลดต้นทุนการถือทอง สามคือ RSI ฟื้นตัวจาก Oversold ขณะที่ราคาทำ lower low ซึ่งเป็น Bullish Divergence
สำหรับการวิเคราะห์ forex ทองคำวันนี้ ถ้า NFP ออกอ่อนกว่าคาดและค่าจ้างไม่เร่ง ทองน่าจะทะลุ $4,750 ไปเทสต์ $4,800 แต่ถ้า NFP แข็ง ราคาอาจหลุดกลับลงมา $4,668 ฝั่งแนวรับ ตอนนี้ราคาแกว่งในกรอบ $4,711-$4,750 ขอดูตัวเลขจ้างงานก่อน