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Trump just saved the market, and the Middle East is "table-flipping"!
Who is the most panicked behind the $114 oil price?
Recently, global markets are very much like a soap opera.
Trump just launched the "Freedom Plan", the market was ready to pop champagne, and suddenly the Middle East "slapped" the table.
As soon as the Fuchairah oil tank attack happened, the oil price shot straight up to $114.
The capital market instantly changed face.
Yesterday, traders were shouting "bulls will return quickly", today they are already looking for the stop-loss button.
Why is this oil price increase so terrifying?
Because the market is not afraid of "expensive oil".
But of "out-of-control oil".
If oil prices just rose slowly, the market could accept it.
But the surge caused by geopolitical conflicts will directly amplify global panic.
Especially now, what is the US most afraid of?
Not recession.
But the "resurgence of high inflation".
The core of Trump's "Freedom Plan" was originally:
to ease inflation pressure through low oil prices.
Now, with oil prices surging in the opposite direction, it's like the plan was just launched and then slapped in the face by reality.
What's more troublesome is that the Federal Reserve is also in a dilemma.
Cut interest rates, fear of inflation.
Don’t cut, fear of the economy.
So recently, market sentiment has been torn apart.
And BTC's current position is even more interesting.
It is beginning to have two attributes at the same time:
Risk asset.
Safe haven asset.
When market risk appetite is high, BTC behaves like tech stocks.
When geopolitical risks escalate, some treat it as digital gold.
This is also why BTC has been extremely volatile lately.
Both bulls and bears think they are right.
What to do next?
It mainly depends on the Oman negotiations.
If there are signals of easing between the US and Iran, oil prices are likely to quickly retrace.
BTC and US stocks will have a rebound window.
But if negotiations fail, the market may continue into a "high volatility + high panic" phase.
At such times, never imitate the protagonists in movies and rush in blindly.
Because the most dangerous time in financial markets is not a crash.
But when everyone thinks they can catch the bottom.