🗓️ October 18 | Crypto Daily The market continued to grind along at low volume over the weekend. BTC held up for now, but capital flows have yet to show any real signs of strengthening. 📊 Market Snapshot (Beijing Time 09:01) BTC: $81,470, essentially flat over 24h (-0.01%) ETH: $2,403.54, -0.69% over 24h SOL: $103.35, -0.87% over 24h Total crypto market cap is approximately $2.75 trillion, down about 3.0% over 24h; BTC dominance is 59.5%. The Fear & Greed Index is at 53, still in neutral territory. The picture is clear: Bitcoin is holding up relatively well, altcoins are under pressure, and risk appetite has not truly returned. The most important developments today: 1) Capital flows remain weak. U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of $82.4 million on the latest trading day, October 16; ETH ETFs had net outflows of $69.7 million, and SOL ETFs $12.7 million. Note that these are Friday’s figures, not today’s; ETFs do not trade over the weekend. 2) Traditional finance continues to compete for access points. Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley are all treating asset tokenization as a growth business; Polygon’s acquisition of Coinme is also a move toward payments and cash access. Onchain finance still has a story to tell, but crypto prices have yet to buy in over the short term. 3) Stablecoin regulation remains tiered. The European Banking Authority has designated Circle’s USDC as the EU’s first “significant” e-money token. This means stricter oversight, and also reflects USDC’s growing importance in Europe’s financial system. 4) U.S. stock index rules have a new variable. MSCI has adopted new rules that could eventually exclude treasury companies like Strategy and Metaplanet from some equity indexes. If passive funds reduce their holdings as a result, the impact could extend beyond share prices and affect these companies’ ability to raise funds to buy crypto. 5) Stay alert on security. Ledger devices with tampered hardware have recently appeared in Southeast Asian reseller channels, affecting hundreds of wallets and causing losses of over $100 million. A hardware wallet is not absolutely secure: don’t skip checking the seller, inspecting the packaging, or making a small test transaction. Three things to watch next: • October 20: U.S. September housing starts • October 22: U.S. weekly initial jobless claims • October 23: U.S. preliminary S&P Global PMI and final Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index My take: BTC has support around $80,000, but continued ETF outflows and BTC dominance nearing 60% suggest this is more of a defensive market than a broad return of risk appetite. For ETH and SOL to sustain a rally, we first need to see capital flow back in—not just a story built around one or two rebound candles. Trading strategy: Don’t chase the rally. If BTC holds above $80,000, consider a small position on dips; if it breaks below, reduce exposure. Stick to strong altcoins and use strict stop-losses. Risk warning: This is for market observation only and does not constitute investment advice. Weekend liquidity is thinner, so beware of sudden wicks and liquidations from excessive leverage.

Bear market has begun; open long-term short positions on new highs. BTC On the daily chart, the current trend is downward. 10.18 Moving sideways with a slight decline Resistance:MN109778//12H85616/8H84628↓/6H84170↓/4H83455↓/2H82521/H81902/M81623/ Support: W66800/3D73985/D79581// XAU On the daily chart, the current trend is upward. 10.18 Moving sideways with a slight decline Resistance:MN5587↓/W4750↓/3D4474/D4305//12H4238/8H4198/6H4194/H4173/M4168/ Support:4H4119↑/2H4146/ Recently popular tokens: SOL;DOGE;TRUMP; #BTC# #CRYPTO#

$Q Up 117% in a day, it climbed from 0.0516 to 0.1350 in 24 hours and is now at 0.1216. I’m still holding my live position, up 32%, with 20% of my portfolio in it. The logic is simple: 770 million in trading volume, high turnover, and short-term sentiment is still there. 0.10 is where today’s rally started and also my stop-loss level; if it breaks below that, I’m out. 0.135 is the previous high. If it breaks through, I’m watching 0.15; if not, I’ll trade the 0.12–0.135 range. Two scenarios: First, if it pulls back to 0.115, holds, and then rallies, I’ll add 10% to my position. Second, if it spikes to 0.135, makes a false breakout, and pulls back, I’ll take profit on half my position. Don’t chase the price—wait for a pullback. I’ll update the results in the comments. #Solana大升级定档