#BTCReclaims79000 BTC — Where & When Is the Next Daily Support? Bitcoin is trying to reclaim $79K, but so far, I still don't see a strong signal that BTC is ready to break and hold above $81K. Again, this week feels like a waiting game. Based on the chart structure I see, BTC is still moving inside an important range. So the main question is not only: “Can BTC go higher?” For me, the bigger question is: “Where and when will BTC find the next strong Daily support?” 🌎 MACRO — WHAT COULD TRIGGER THE NEXT MOVE? 🇺🇸 NFP — Friday The August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report will be released on Friday, September 4. This is one of the most important data releases this week because it can affect: Jobs → Fed expectations → Yields → Liquidity → BTC 🏦 Fed Rate Decision The next Fed decision will also be an important catalyst this month. The Fed is still very data-dependent, so upcoming economic data could change expectations for rates. 💰 Bitcoin ETF Flows ETF flows are still important for watching institutional demand. We saw a large ETF outflow recently, but one day is not enough to confirm a trend. If outflows continue, however, it could put more pressure on BTC. 🇺🇸 CLARITY Act Progress on the CLARITY Act could also improve sentiment by giving the U.S. crypto market more regulatory clarity. 📊 4H — STILL CONSOLIDATING On the 4H chart, BTC is still consolidating around: 🔵 $77K–$79K — Current range 📍 $76K–$77K — Support 🔴 $79K–$80K — Resistance For now, I don't see a clean trade setup. BTC is still moving inside this range, so I don't want to chase the middle. 📅 DAILY — STILL IN THE SAME ZONE On the Daily chart, BTC is still inside the bigger: $77K–$80K zone This area remains important as both support and resistance. So far, I don't see a major change in the Daily structure. BTC reaching $79K again does not mean we have a breakout. For me, I want to see: Break → Hold → Confirm before becoming more aggressive. ⚠️ THE AREA I'M WATCHING — DAILY FVG The most interesting part of the Daily chart for me is the Fair Value Gap around $75K–$72K. The FVG is still open. This does not mean BTC must fill it. But if the current support breaks, this area could become important for the next reaction. That's why, right now, I am more interested in: Finding the next Daily support instead of chasing $79K. 🎯 TRADE SETUP A — DAILY / LONGER TERM For the Daily chart, I'm mainly watching the open FVG area. 📍 Support 1: ~$73K 📍 Support 2: ~$70K 📍 Support 3: ~$68K 🎯 Taking Profit 1: $75K–$76K 🎯 Taking Profit 2: $77K–$80K This does not mean I expect BTC to definitely fall to $73K. I'm simply watching these areas for a better risk/reward setup if BTC comes down. ⚡ TRADE SETUP B — SHORT TERM For short-term trading: 📍 Support 1: ~$76K–$75K → I want to see another test 📍 Support 2: ~$72K 🎯 Taking Profit 1: $77K–$77.5K 🎯 Taking Profit 2: $78.5K But honestly, the current structure is not very attractive for short-term trading. For me: WAIT > FORCE A TRADE 🧠 MY VIEW My previous BTC trade setup is still valid for now. I'm not changing my view just because BTC is testing $79K again. Right now, I'm mainly looking for new support, especially on the Daily chart. The levels I'm watching: $81K → Breakout confirmation $79K–$80K → Resistance $76K–$77K → Current support $75K–$72K → Daily FVG $70K → Secondary support $68K → Deeper support The most important thing now is the reaction. I want the Daily chart to show me where buyers are actually willing to defend. Until then: No FOMO. No forced entry. For long-term investors, BTC can still be interesting for DCA depending on your strategy and risk tolerance. But for short-term trading, this current range is still quite risky. DYOR. For now, I'm waiting for the Daily chart to show me the next strong support before taking another trade. ‍#BTC $BTC $BTC $ETH

$MU ‌When $BTC ‌everyone is panicking, whales are quietly accumulating Oil surges to $95, bond markets collapse across the board, the probability of a rate hike jumps to 66%, and BTC falls from 81,500 to 77,000— With these headlines piled together, are you panicking? Panic is a normal reaction. But normal people usually cannot make money in the crypto market. First, the macro picture really is frightening On September 1, the US launched airstrikes against Iran. Brent crude rose 4.5% in two days, approaching $95, for a cumulative increase of 51% this year. Germany's 10-year government bond yield reached its highest level since 2011, the UK's reached its highest since 2008, and Japan's reached its highest since 1996. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged to 4.8%, its highest since January 2025. After Waller's hawkish remarks, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September jumped from just over 30% to 66%. BTC fell below 78,000 in response and is currently fluctuating between 77,000 and 79,000. After nine consecutive days of net ETF inflows, net outflows exceeded $400 million over September 1-2. The surface-level signal: run. But on-chain data tells another story CryptoQuant data: Over the past 60 days, addresses holding 100-1,000 BTC have accumulated a net 73,300 BTC, the highest level since April 21; whale wallets holding more than 10,000 BTC added 43,300 BTC over the same period. At $77,000 per BTC, whales quietly bought more than $9 billion worth of BTC over two months. On September 2, a whale address beginning with 0xe2ad launched a $60 million buying plan, purchasing 121.53 BTC at an average price of $76,499 (approximately $9.3 million). The address also has 17 limit orders on-chain, planning to buy another 671 BTC (approximately $50.88 million) in the $75,479-$76,245 range. The Fear and Greed Index fell from 81 to 62, with retail investors panicking; the number of whale wallets reached a six-month high in August, with 90 addresses holding more than 10,000 BTC. Retail sells, whales buy—this is not a coincidence; it is the script. The core of contrarian thinking is not ignoring risk Oil at $95, a 66% rate-hike probability, and a bond-market collapse—these bad news items have already been priced in. What has not been priced in is this: The September 11 CPI may show that inflation is under control; oil prices may simply reflect a sudden geopolitical shock and retreat as tensions ease; and whales have quietly bought $9 billion over the past 60 days. The pandemic circuit breaker in March 2020, the FTX collapse in November 2022, and the yen carry-trade unwind in August 2024—during every episode of mass panic, whales were buying, and prices recovered every time. It is not that whales are smarter; they can simply withstand panic better. The strategy now 1️⃣ Don't let the headlines scare you out of your wits; oil prices, bond markets, and rate hikes are noise, not signals 2️⃣ Watch the on-chain data; whales buying means someone thinks prices are not expensive 3️⃣ Before the September 11 CPI release, buy in batches and keep positions light, saving your ammunition until the uncertainty clears The most panic-stricken moments are often the most cost-effective entry points—provided you have ammunition. Everyone can recite “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful,” but the people who truly act on it are always a minority. When everyone in your group is shouting “Run!”, and your hands are trembling as you look at your account's unrealized losses—ask yourself: Is what you want to do right now the same as what 90% of people are doing? If so, you are probably losing money. (The above is personal market observation and analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile; please assess the risks yourself.)

Live update: BlackRock’s IBIT triggers $236 million in bitcoin ETF outflows Bitcoin fell below $77,500, and all major indexes declined today. Smaller crypto ETFs continued to receive inflows, while bitcoin funds gave some back. IBIT accounted for most of the $236 million in bitcoin ETF outflows U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs saw approximately $236 million in outflows on Monday, with BlackRock’s IBIT responsible for around $201 million of that amount and Fidelity’s FBTC for an additional $44 million, according to SoSoValue. Bitwise’s BITB was the only fund on the other side, taking in around $8 million, while the other nine funds recorded nothing at all. The rest of the complex remained in the green. Ether ETFs added around $11 million for the 12th consecutive day, XRP funds took in $14 million, Solana $10 million, and Hyperliquid nearly $2 million. Bitcoin was trading slightly above $77,000 during Wednesday morning hours in Asia, down around 2% over the week, according to CoinDesk data. Solana and zcash led the 24-hour declines at around 3% each, while XRP, tron, and dogecoin fell around 2%. Bitcoin, ether, BNB, and hyperliquid were all within 2% of flat. Watch to see whether IBIT prints another red day, because a single fund moving that much of the total indicative of this series’ narrative being dependent on rebalancing at just one trading desk.$NVDA ‌$MU ‌$SNDK ‌$BTC ‌