Looking at the rhythm of the crypto market over the past few years, there are always people struggling at the bottom and others panicking at the top. But if you think about it carefully, the market is just like the weather—there are windy days and sunny days. Many people are still observing Bitcoin's subsequent movements, but if you take a long-term view and look at the expectations for 2026, the logic of holding Bitcoin is actually very clear. Historically, each cycle has rewarded the patient, and this time will be no different. The key is not to be scared by short-term fluctuations. Whether you are new to the market or already holding positions, the long-term growth logic of Bitcoin has not changed. Those who can endure the cycles are often the ultimate winners. Market opportunities are never lacking; what’s lacking is the mindset to hold on.

I haven't been paying attention to the detailed trend of Ethereum for a while. The target range of 3180-3220 set earlier has been completed, and it just reached the take-profit level this morning. From the breakout rhythm, Ethereum was the first to break through the 3050 resistance level, reflecting that the capital side is indeed more aggressive than Bitcoin. Compared to the previous pattern where it quickly retreated when approaching resistance, the current selling pressure is relatively rational—no panic dumping, but rather oscillating within a range, gradually digesting the profit-taking accumulated during the previous rally. The key support remains at the 3120 level. As long as it doesn't break here, with the US stock market opening higher, Ethereum should have room to continue pushing higher, and the 3280 level may be tested today. Of course, the market is ever-changing, so real-time volume and sentiment should be used to make flexible adjustments.

Bitcoin is currently stuck at the 92,500 mark, which is indeed a bit awkward. There is pressure above, support below, and pitfalls on both sides. Looking at the latest data chart, the 91,000 USD defense line is not simple. There are 320 million in short liquidation orders stacked here, forming a wall. Once broken below, algorithmic trading will react immediately, and longs may be directly pushed down to 88,000. Many seasoned traders in the circle have set stop-losses at this level; if it really breaks, it will be a bloodbath. Looking upward is also not easy. At 94,000 USD, there is a 480 million long liquidation wall ready to go. But this also means that as long as the breakout succeeds, the short squeeze will be severe, and the price is likely to surge to 96,000 or even 97,000. The good news is that recent funding rates are relatively restrained, without particularly crazy bullish sentiment, so the probability of a breakout is neither small nor insignificant. What does the technical analysis say? RSI is now at 54, neither overbought nor oversold, just like the market is holding its breath, preparing for a big move. The range from 91,000 to 94,000 has been oscillating for two days, feeling like a big move is brewing. Whether it ultimately goes up or down, once the direction is confirmed, the first wave of profit could be around 3,000 to 4,000 USD. For trading, conservative players can wait for clearer breakout signals before entering, although they might miss the lowest point, at least ensuring safety. More daring traders can try small positions now—placing long orders near 91,000 and short orders around 94,000. But regardless of the side, stop-losses must be set. In this kind of market, it’s either calm or stormy. Personally, I lean toward a higher probability of an upward breakout. After all, the liquidation pressure at 94,000 is more terrifying; once broken, the shorts will have little to fight back. But as always, the market is always right. Being prepared with two strategies and adjusting tactics as needed is the right approach.